Match Info

AUSTRIA: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 6

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Raiffeisen Arena (Linz)

Referee: Hameter M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Sport


	LASK Linz		Austria Lustenau

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	8.5	Watch
	1.33	5.1	7
	1.33	5.5	8
	1.37	5.63	8.08
	1.25	4.75	7.5
	1.33	5.45	8.1	Watch
	1.33	5.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.48)	5.3 ↑ (4.39)	7.91 ↑ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LASK Linz
70.6%

Draw
17.6%

Austria Lustenau
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

20.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LASK Linz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LASK Linz's performance.

Austria Lustenau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LASK Linz than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LASK Linz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Lustenau than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

LASK Linz - Austria Lustenau Predictions

Users Predictions: LASK Linz will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lawal T. (G) 5. Ziereis P. 16. Andrade A. 33. Luckeneder F. 25. Ba S. 18. Jovicic B. 30. Horvath S. 7. Renner R. 9. Ljubicic M. 23. Mustapha I. 10. Zulj R. (C)	27. Schierl D. (G) 5. Matzler L. 31. Maak M. 6. Grujcic D. 11. Diallo B. 70. Surdanovic S. 8. Rhein T. 28. Anderson 33. Tiefenbach D. 18. Schmid A. 10. Fridrikas L.
Substitutes
2. Bello G. 29. Flecker F. 27. Goiginger T. 24. Havel E. 21. Ljubic I. 28. Siebenhandl J. (G) 4. Talovierov M.	9. Baden Frederiksen N. 4. Berger T. 19. Bobzien B. 22. Diaby Y. 7. Gmeiner F. 21. Helac A. (G) 2. Moltenis B.
Coaches
Sageder T.	Mader M.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches LASK won 4.

LASK is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Austria Lustenau is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Austria Lustenau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match LASK is absolute favorite.

There will not play in LASK: Anselm T. (Injury) Taoui A. (Injury) Wiesinger P. (Injury)

There will not play in Austria Lustenau: Grabher P. (Injury)

There are questionable in LASK: Pintor L. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's LASK to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 16 head-to-head matches LASK won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30-18.

Including matches at home between the teams LASK won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LASK Linz
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Zrinjski Mostar - LASK Linz	1:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
27.08.23	LASK Linz - Austria Wien	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.08.23	LASK Linz - Zrinjski Mostar	2:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
19.08.23	Swarovski Tirol - LASK Linz	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	LASK Linz - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWTW
- Austria Lustenau
Austrian Bundesliga
26.08.23	Austria Lustenau - Rheindorf Altach	0:3 ✺
19.08.23	Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Wolfsberger - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Austria Lustenau - Austria Wien	0:2 ✺
29.07.23	Hartberg - Austria Lustenau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
24.02.23	LASK Linz - Austria Lustenau	1:0
11.09.22	Austria Lustenau - LASK Linz	1:1
Austrian 2 Liga
14.04.17	LASK Linz - Austria Lustenau	2:0
25.11.16	Austria Lustenau - LASK Linz	2:4
16.09.16	LASK Linz - Austria Lustenau	3:1
22.07.16	Austria Lustenau - LASK Linz	1:1
06.05.16	LASK Linz - Austria Lustenau	0:2

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