Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 20

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Stadion (Vienna)

Referee: Ebner S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2


	Rapid Wien		Wolfsberger

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.92	3.55	3.7
	2	3.69	3.81
	1.96	3.66	3.74	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.75
	1.92	3.55	3.77	Watch
	1.96	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.12)	3.58 ↑ (3.32)	3.74 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapid Wien
48.6%

Draw
26.3%

Wolfsberger
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.7%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rapid Wien's performance.

Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rapid Wien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Rapid Wien - Wolfsberger Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Rapid will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rapid: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Wolfsberger (3.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rapid Wien will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rapid (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Wolfsberger (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hedl N. (G) 77. Bolla B. 55. Cvetkovic N. 6. Raux Yao S. 38. Horn J. 8. Grgic L. 29. Amane R. 15. Wurmbrand N. 26. Weimann A. (C) 17. Gulliksen T. 9. Kara E.	12. Polster N. (G) 22. Baumgartner D. (C) 15. Diabate C. 37. Wimmer N. 31. Wohlmuth F. 30. Sulzner M. 8. Piesinger S. 77. Renner R. 20. Zukic D. 18. Schopf A. 9. Kojzek E.
Substitutes
20. Ahoussou A. 16. Borkeeiet T. 10. Dahl P. 61. Demir F. 22. Demir Y. 25. Gartler P. (G) 54. Nunoo D. 4. Scholler J. M. 18. Seidl M.	34. Agyeman E. 17. Atanga D. 35. Chukwu E. 7. Gattermayer A. 13. Gruber T. 1. Gutlbauer L. (G) 6. Hajdini F. 23. Kujovic E. 2. Matic B.
Coaches
Thorup J.	Atalan I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Wurmbrand N. 🟨,
26', Diabate C. 🟨,
36', Kara E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Diabate C. ↓, Matic B. ↑,
46', Gulliksen T. ↓, Seidl M. ↑,
57', Amane R. 🟨,
61', Wurmbrand N. ↓, Nunoo D. ↑,
62', Horn J. ↓, Ahoussou A. ↑,
69', Kojzek E. ↓, Gattermayer A. ↑,
72', Kara E. ↓, Dahl P. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Seidl M. ⚽, Dahl P. (A),
80', Piesinger S. ↓, Kujovic E. ↑,
80', Schopf A. ↓, Atanga D. ↑,
82', Grgic L. ↓, Borkeeiet T. ↑,
87', Wohlmuth F. ↓, Chukwu E. ↑,
88', Zukic D. 🟨,
90', Weimann A. 🟨,
90+1', Hedl N. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Nunoo D. ⚽, Seidl M. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Wolfsberger has had a series of home games.

Rapid will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rapid: M'Buyi C. (Injury) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury) Schaub L. (Injury) Tilio M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Wolfsberger: Ngankam J. (Hamstring Injury) Pink M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rapid: Ndzie M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsberger: Avdijaj D. (Injury) Skubl D. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rapid won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 40:36. (average 2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rapid won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Wolfsberger AC: 0.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	SK Rapid	7	6	0	1	21:7	14	18
11	Wolfsberger AC	7	1	2	4	7:13	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
15.02.26	Austria Wien - Rapid Wien	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Rapid Wien - Hartberg	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
31.01.26	Ried - Rapid Wien	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.26	Rapid Wien - Győri ETO	0:2 ✺
16.01.26	Rapid Wien - Śląsk Wrocław	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLL?
- Wolfsberger AC
Austrian Bundesliga
15.02.26	Blau-Weiss Linz - Wolfsberger	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Wolfsberger - Grazer AK	2:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
01.02.26	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.01.26	Wolfsberger - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:2 ✺
15.01.26	Wolfsberger - Diósgyőri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
24.08.25	Wolfsberger - Rapid Wien	1:2
04.05.25	Rapid Wien - Wolfsberger	0:1
20.04.25	Wolfsberger - Rapid Wien	5:1
08.02.25	Rapid Wien - Wolfsberger	1:3
14.09.24	Wolfsberger - Rapid Wien	1:1
11.02.24	Wolfsberger - Rapid Wien	0:2
17.09.23	Rapid Wien - Wolfsberger	3:3

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