Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Generali Arena (Vienna)

Referee: Xhaja J. (Alb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF 1, ORF On
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Austria Wien		Baník Ostrava

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.6	4.1	4.4
	1.55	4.15	4.95	Watch
	1.59	4.18	5.28
	1.62	4.09	4.86	Watch
	1.62	4.43	5	Watch
	1.7	3.85	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.68)	4.14 ↑ (3.66)	4.86 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Wien
58.3%

Draw
22.5%

Baník Ostrava
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.9%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.4%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Austria Wien - Baník Ostrava Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 11 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Austria Wien will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Austria Wien will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 26. Ranftl R. 24. Plavotic T. 28. Wiesinger P. 21. Guenouche H. 5. Barry A. 30. Fischer M. (C) 16. Lee Kang-Hee 19. Eggestein J. 36. Fitz D. 77. Malone M.	30. Holec D. (G) 17. Frydrych M. (C) 37. Chalus M. 6. Pojezny K. 9. Buchta D. 5. Boula J. 12. Rigo T. 95. Holzer D. 21. Kohut M. 10. Sin M. 33. Prekop E.
Substitutes
9. Botic N. 99. Kos M. (G) 6. Maybach P. 66. Ndukwe I. 2. Pazourek L. 60. Radonjic D. 29. Raguz M. 20. Saljic S. 11. Sarkaria M. 40. Schablas M. 13. Wedl L. (G)	77. Almasi L. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 8. Frydek Ch. 15. Kpozo P. 11. Latal D. 19. Lischka D. 31. Munksgaard A. 25. Owusu D. 66. Rusnak M. 44. Sehic E. 4. Tiehi C. 22. Zlatohlavek T.
Coaches
Helm S.	Hapal P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Wiesinger P. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Prekop E. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Holzer D. 🟨,
54', Eggestein J. ↓, Sarkaria M. ↑,
58', Guenouche H. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Wiesinger P. ⚽,
70', Kohut M. ↓, Munksgaard A. ↑,
76', Holzer D. ↓, Kpozo P. ↑,
76', Guenouche H. ↓, Schablas M. ↑,
76', Malone M. ↓, Botic N. ↑,
83', Kpozo P. 🟨,
84', Fischer M. 🟨,
84', Fitz D. ↓, Saljic S. ↑,
85', Sin M. ↓, Latal D. ↑,
85', Buchta D. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
90+3', Latal D. 🟨,
90+5', Plavotic T. 🟨,
90+5', Holec D. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 3-4. 2nd leg.

Austria is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baník Ostrava's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Austria has had a series of away games.

In this match, Austria is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Austria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Austria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
10.08.25	Austria Wien - Wolfsberger	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Austria Wien	4:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
03.08.25	Grazer AK - Austria Wien	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Spaeri - Austria Wien	0:5 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
27.07.25	ASK Voitsberg - Austria Wien	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTWL
- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
10.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Karviná	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Austria Wien	4:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
03.08.25	Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Baník Ostrava - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Austria Wien	4:3
Club Friendly
05.07.19	Austria Wien - Baník Ostrava	2:1

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