Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich (Ostrava)

Referee: Al-Hakim M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2


	Baník Ostrava		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.72	3.05	2.58	Watch
	2.76	3.25	2.63
	5.31	3.84	1.61	Watch
				Watch
	2.71	3.46	2.61	Watch
	2.4	3.4	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.4)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	2.47 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baník Ostrava
32.5%

Draw
28.6%

Austria Wien
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.7%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baník Ostrava's form might have worsened.

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baník Ostrava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	36.8%	21.1%

Baník Ostrava - Austria Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Austria will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baník Ostrava: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 10%). Austria (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Austria (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH 0 - Austria (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Austria (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Holec D. (G) 17. Frydrych M. (C) 37. Chalus M. 6. Pojezny K. 9. Buchta D. 5. Boula J. 12. Rigo T. 95. Holzer D. 21. Kohut M. 10. Sin M. 33. Prekop E.	1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 26. Ranftl R. 28. Wiesinger P. 15. Dragovic A. 21. Guenouche H. 5. Barry A. 30. Fischer M. (C) 16. Lee Kang-Hee 77. Malone M. 36. Fitz D. 19. Eggestein J.
Substitutes
77. Almasi L. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 8. Frydek Ch. 99. Kornezos G. 15. Kpozo P. 11. Latal D. 19. Lischka D. 31. Munksgaard A. 25. Owusu D. 66. Rusnak M. 4. Tiehi C. 22. Zlatohlavek T.	9. Botic N. 46. Handl J. 99. Kos M. (G) 66. Ndukwe I. 2. Pazourek L. 24. Plavotic T. 29. Raguz M. 20. Saljic S. 11. Sarkaria M. 40. Schablas M. 13. Wedl L. (G)
Coaches
Hapal P.	Helm S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Malone M. ⚽, Fitz D. (A),
27', Fischer M. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Kohut M. ⚽, Prekop E. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Buchta D. ⚽, Sin M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 3 - 1, Holzer D. ⚽, Buchta D. (A),
54', Lee Kang-Hee 🟨,
57', Eggestein J. ↓, Sarkaria M. ↑,
57', Fischer M. ↓, Handl J. ↑,
62', Kohut M. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
67', 3 - 2, Fitz D. ⚽, Malone M. (A),
73', Chalus M. ↓, Lischka D. ↑,
73', Sin M. ↓, Frydek Ch. ↑,
74', Boula J. 🟨,
76', Guenouche H. ↓, Schablas M. ↑,
76', Malone M. ↓, Botic N. ↑,
79', 3 - 3, Sarkaria M. ⚽, Fitz D. (A),
80', Dragovic A. ↓, Plavotic T. ↑,
81', Schablas M. 🟨,
82', 4 - 3, Prekop E. ⚽, Rigo T. (A),
85', Holzer D. ↓, Kpozo P. ↑,
86', Buchta D. ↓, Rusnak M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baník Ostrava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
03.08.25	Dukla Prague - Baník Ostrava	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.07.25	Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
24.07.25	Baník Ostrava - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
19.07.25	Bohemians 1905 - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Baník Ostrava - Dukla Banská Bystrica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLT
- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
03.08.25	Grazer AK - Austria Wien	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Spaeri - Austria Wien	0:5 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
27.07.25	ASK Voitsberg - Austria Wien	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Austria Wien - Spaeri	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Austria Wien - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.07.19	Austria Wien - Baník Ostrava	2:1

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