Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Austria Wien		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.50	2.05	Watch
	3.10	3.50	2.15
	3.25	3.55	2.08
	3.30	3.65	2.19
	3.26	3.59	2.12	Watch
	3.20	3.50	2.07
	3.25	3.50	2.10	Watch
	3.15	3.50	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.08)	3.54 ↑ (3.52)	2.11 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austria Wien
29.1%

Draw
26.5%

Sturm Graz
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26.6%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austria Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Austria Wien - Sturm Graz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 10th in the Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austria won 3.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sturm holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Austria has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:34 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Austria against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 16:20 goals (averaging 1.8:2.2 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now

Sturm Graz: 7.79% Austria Vienna: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sturm Graz	7	3	2	2	8:9	-1	11
10	Austria Vienna	7	2	1	4	7:13	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austria Wien
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Admira - Austria Wien	1:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
19.09.26	Grazer AK - Austria Wien	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Austria Wien - Austria Lustenau	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
05.09.26	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Austria Wien	0:6 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
02.09.26	Austria Wien - Swarovski Tirol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWWL
- Sturm Graz
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sturm Graz - Floridsdorfer AC	3:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sturm Graz - Rennes	0:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
13.09.26	Sturm Graz - LASK Linz	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
05.09.26	ASK Voitsberg - Sturm Graz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Bundesliga
26.04.26	Sturm Graz - Austria Wien	1:1
15.03.26	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	2:5
14.12.25	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	3:1
14.09.25	Sturm Graz - Austria Wien	0:1
27.04.25	Sturm Graz - Austria Wien	0:1
23.04.25	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	2:1
07.02.25	Sturm Graz - Austria Wien	2:2

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