Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Servus TV
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 4
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Georgia	23:00	Silk Universal
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport, Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	Premier Sports 2 ROI
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 1
New Zealand	08:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Paraguay	16:00	ESPN 4
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Premier League
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, M+ Liga de Campeones 7
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 3, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter


	Bournemouth		Sturm Graz

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.50	17.00
	1.16	8.50	13.50
	1.15	8.50	16.00
	1.18	8.38	16.85
	1.19	8.2	14.5	Watch
	1.15	8.25	16.00
	1.18	7.55	16.20
	1.16	8.00	15.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.21)	8.11 ↑ (6.9)	15.66 ↑ (12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
82.1%

Draw
11.8%

Sturm Graz
6.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.4%

13.7%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bournemouth - Sturm Graz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Bournemouth (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bournemouth will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 18. Diakite B. 14. Silva A. 6. Soler J. 11. Gannon-Doak B. 4. Cook L. 12. Adams T. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson 30. Rodriguez A.	53. Khudyakov D. (G) 28. Heil J. 23. Malic A. 2. Quarshie J. 21. Petrovic P. 27. Balbo L. 78. Matoshi V. 4. Gorenc Stankovic J. (C) 43. Hodl J. 19. Seidl S. 26. Beganovic B.
Substitutes
21. Adli A. 55. Allan M. (G) 7. Brooks D. 10. Christie R. 20. Di Gregorio M. (G) 5. Hill J. 19. Kluivert J. 37. Rayan 27. Toth A. 3. Truffert A.	14. Diakite O. 25. Grgic M. 40. Halwachs J. 22. Helac A. (G) 11. Kayombo A. 30. Koller P. 41. Lorenz E. (G) 38. Peinhart J. 37. Petritsch J. 5. Vallci A. 39. Weinhandl L.
Coaches
Rose M.	Ingolitsch F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Evanilson 🟨,
41', Beganovic B. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Evanilson ⚽, Smith A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', Diakite B. 🟨,
61', Beganovic B. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
62', Smith A. ↓, Hill J. ↑,
66', Soler J. 🟨,
69', Adams T. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
70', Evanilson ↓, Rayan ↑,
70', Tavernier M. ↓, Kluivert J. ↑,
75', Petrovic P. ↓, Vallci A. ↑,
75', Hodl J. ↓, Halwachs J. ↑,
75', Seidl S. ↓, Kayombo A. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Rayan ⚽,
83', Balbo L. ↓, Koller P. ↑,
84', Gannon-Doak B. ↓, Adli A. ↑,
85', Halwachs J. 🟨,
87', Vallci A. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 0, Rodriguez A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In recent outings, Bournemouth has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sturm shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sturm may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bournemouth holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Bournemouth: Aarons M. (Off the roster) Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Forster F. (Off the roster) Jebbison D. (Off the roster) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury) Sanchez J. (Off the roster) Scott A. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sturm: Geyrhofer N. (Off the roster) Grgic L. (Knee Injury) Jatta S. (Shoulder Injury) Kiteishvili O. (Calf Injury) Mamageishvili G. (Injury) Rozga F. (Muscle Injury) Soglo E. (Muscle Injury) Weiper N. (Injury) Wlodarczyk S. (Off the roster).

Doubtful / questionable for Bournemouth: Adli A. (Calf Injury) Kluivert J. (Muscle Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Sturm: Vallci A. (Injury).

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bournemouth	3	3	0	0	8:1	7	9
19	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	1:3	-2	4

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Bournemouth: 10.72% Sturm Graz: 0.64%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
10.10.26	Chelsea - Bournemouth	5:1 ✺
20.09.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Real Sociedad - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Bournemouth - Lincoln City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWTW
- Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga
10.10.26	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sturm Graz - Floridsdorfer AC	3:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sturm Graz - Rennes	0:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
13.09.26	Sturm Graz - LASK Linz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLTW

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