Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5P
Cambodia	MyTV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	OneFootball TV


	Auxerre		Brest

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.50	2.37
	3.05	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.33
	2.89	3.61	2.33	Watch
	3.15	3.45	2.3
	3.21	3.59	2.35	Watch
	3.05	3.6	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.73)	3.54 ↑ (3.42)	2.31 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
31.3%

Draw
27.1%

Brest
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

27.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

28%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	31.2%	37.5%

Auxerre - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Brest will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 13.8% – 61.2%.

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.75) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Diop M. (G) 15. Makosso C. 4. Tuanzebe A. 92. Akpa C. 27. Sy L. 46. Piedfort A. 5. Danois K. (C) 22. Oppegard F. 10. Namaso D. 9. Archer C. 3. Labeau Lascary R.	1. Selvik E. (G) 70. Lala K. 71. Le Guen R. 4. Lloris G. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. (C) 10. Versini G. 23. Doumbia K. 9. Mboup P. 19. Ajorque L.
Substitutes
8. Ahamada N. 20. Diomande S. 34. Dioubate L. 17. Ekwah P. 21. Faivre R. 93. Fofana S. 35. Legros E. 32. Mandengue R. 1. Nardi P. (G)	17. Balde M. 18. Bourgault J. 21. Kante I. Y. 32. Laine M. L. C. 39. N'Guessan D. 7. Nonge J. 30. Patouillet M. (G) 29. Tousart L. 20. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Still W.	Lachuer J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Mboup P. ⚽, Chotard J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
46', Piedfort A. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Archer C. ⚽, Namaso D. (A),
68', Versini G. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
73', Makosso C. 🟨,
78', Lloris G. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
78', Mboup P. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
82', Lala K. 🟨,
83', 2 - 1, Le Guen R. (Own goal),
86', Chotard J. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
86', Ajorque L. ↓, Laine M. L. C. ↑,
86', Oppegard F. ↓, Mandengue R. ↑,
87', Namaso D. ↓, Ekwah P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Brest may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Auxerre: Diousse A. (Knee Injury) Okoh B. (Knee Injury) Senaya M. (Injury) Siwe T. (Muscle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Brest: Cagnon R. (Shoulder Injury) Chardonnet B. (Calf Injury) Diambou M. (Ankle Injury) Edjouma N. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Auxerre: Fofana S. (Groin Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:19 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Auxerre against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Brest: 0.35% Auxerre: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Brest - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Auxerre - Nice	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Auxerre - Angers	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Lens - Auxerre	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Werder Bremen - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
13.09.26	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Le Havre - Brest	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Brest - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Le Mans - Brest	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Brest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
21.03.26	Auxerre - Brest	3:0
04.01.26	Brest - Auxerre	2:0
14.02.25	Brest - Auxerre	2:2
27.09.24	Auxerre - Brest	3:0
14.05.23	Brest - Auxerre	1:0
02.10.22	Auxerre - Brest	1:1
French Ligue 2
11.02.19	Brest - Auxerre	1:0

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