Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Disney+, FOX One
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, VTVcab
World	OneFootball TV


	Auxerre		Nice

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.45
	2.9	3.3	2.42	Watch
	3.01	3.45	2.52
	2.75	3.44	2.51	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.45
	2.94	3.34	2.49	Watch
	3	3.4	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.44)	3.37 ↑ (3.28)	2.47 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
32.9%

Draw
28.4%

Nice
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.7%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auxerre's form might have worsened.

Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	28.6%	35.7%

Auxerre - Nice Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Nice will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Auxerre: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Auxerre (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Diop M. (G) 15. Makosso C. 4. Tuanzebe A. 92. Akpa C. 27. Sy L. 46. Piedfort A. 5. Danois K. (C) 22. Oppegard F. 10. Namaso D. 9. Archer C. 3. Labeau Lascary R.	23. Diouf Y. (G) 5. Abdelmonem M. 55. Ndayishimiye Y. 35. Mandza Tsiendi X. 92. Clauss J. (C) 39. Coulibaly D. 28. Witsel A. 27. Nkounkou N. 7. Hein G. 11. Wahi E. 9. Amoura M.
Substitutes
8. Ahamada N. 20. Diomande S. 34. Dioubate L. 17. Ekwah P. 21. Faivre R. 35. Legros E. 32. Mandengue R. 1. Nardi P. (G) 77. Zossou A.	2. Abdi A. 6. Boudaoui H. 77. Boulhendi T. (G) 38. Camara A. 10. Diop S. 21. Jansson I. 41. Morana D. 29. Ngoumou N. 87. Pereira E.
Coaches
Still W.	Pantaloni O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Danois K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
72', Nkounkou N. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
74', Coulibaly D. 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Archer C. ⚽, Makosso C. (A),
81', Namaso D. ↓, Ahamada N. ↑,
82', Piedfort A. ↓, Ekwah P. ↑,
86', Wahi E. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
86', Amoura M. ↓, Ngoumou N. ↑,
86', Witsel A. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
86', Abdelmonem M. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
87', Archer C. ↓, Mandengue R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2.

Recent form of Auxerre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Auxerre: Diousse A. (Knee Injury) Okoh B. (Knee Injury) Senaya M. (Injury) Siwe T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Nice: Abergel L. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Boudaoui H. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mendy A. (Knee Injury) Sanson M. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Auxerre: Fofana S. (Groin Injury) Legros E. (Knock)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Nice: 0.58% Auxerre: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7:12	-5	6
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3:6	-3	5

Last Results with these Odds

Nice - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 32.39%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Auxerre - Angers	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Lens - Auxerre	5:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Werder Bremen - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Auxerre - Orleans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWL
- OGC Nice
French Ligue 1
05.09.26	Nice - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Paris FC - Nice	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Nice - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Hull City - Nice	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Cagliari - Nice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Auxerre - Nice	2:1
23.08.25	Nice - Auxerre	3:1
14.03.25	Nice - Auxerre	1:1
18.08.24	Auxerre - Nice	2:1
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Nice - Auxerre	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
03.03.23	Nice - Auxerre	1:1
16.10.22	Auxerre - Nice	1:1

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