Brest - Paris Saint-Germain predictions, live, scores & stats

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	23:15	Meraj Sport
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 3
Argentina	15:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 2
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 5P
Brazil	15:45	Xsports
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol, fubo Sports Network
China	02:45	Migu
Colombia	13:45	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 2
Estonia	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	22:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 3
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Iran	22:15	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	21:45	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
Kyrgyzstan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	21:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	12:45	FOX One
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Nigeria	19:45	Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 2
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	21:45	Voyo
Russia	21:45	Okko Prime
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Africa, Supersport Maximo 1
South Korea	03:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	21:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, SportsEngine Play
Uzbekistan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
International	18:45	OneFootball TV


	Brest		Paris Saint-Germain

	1	X	2
	12	6.5	1.22	Watch
	9.75	7.00	1.25
	12.5	6.6	1.21	Watch
	11.89	7.3	1.24
	11.39	7.31	1.24	Watch
	11	6.85	1.23
	12.8	6.59	1.23	Watch
	11	7.6	1.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.54 ↑ (8.09)	6.97 ↑ (5.41)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
8.3%

Draw
13.8%

Paris Saint-Germain
77.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

11.7%

17.4%

70.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

16.3%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paris Saint-Germain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	6.9%	93.1%

Brest - Paris Saint Germain Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - PSG (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (27 of 29 users predict this - 93.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.88% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Selvik E. (G) 70. Lala K. 71. Le Guen R. 4. Lloris G. 2. Locko B. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. (C) 10. Versini G. 23. Doumbia K. 9. Mboup P. 19. Ajorque L.	39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 87. Neves J. 10. Dembele O. 9. Torres F. 7. Kvaratskhelia K.
Substitutes
18. Bourgault J. 21. Kante I. Y. 32. Laine M. L. C. 33. Monchatre E. 39. N'Guessan D. 7. Nonge J. 30. Patouillet M. (G) 29. Tousart L. 20. Zogbe L.	11. Akliouche M. 4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 12. Digne L. 14. Doue D. 27. Fernandez D. 22. Godts M. 21. Hernandez L. 8. Ruiz F.
Coaches
Lachuer J.	Luis Enrique

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Torres F. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
30', Doumbia K. 🟨,
39', Hakimi A. ↓, Ruiz F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Dembele O. ↓, Akliouche M. ↑,
66', Kvaratskhelia K. ↓, Doue D. ↑,
66', Versini G. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
77', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
77', Torres F. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
78', Chotard J. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
78', Doumbia K. ↓, N'Guessan D. ↑,
84', Vitinha 🟨,
87', Fernandez D. 🟨,
88', Locko B. ↓, Bourgault J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSG is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Brest: Cagnon R. (Shoulder Injury) Chardonnet B. (Calf Injury) Diambou M. (Ankle Injury) Edjouma N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brest won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 19 matches, and goals 15:57. (average 0.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:32. (average 1:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	8	5	2	1	16:9	7	17
13	Brest	8	2	3	3	14:12	2	9

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 79.14% Brest: 0.25%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
05.09.26	Le Havre - Brest	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Brest - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Le Mans - Brest	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Nottingham Forest - Brest	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Brest - Venezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTLT
- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Slovan Bratislava	6:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.09.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Monaco	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Lille - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	2:2 ✺
French Super Cup
16.08.26	Lens - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.05.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	1:0
25.10.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
UEFA Champions League
19.02.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	7:0
11.02.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
French Ligue 1
01.02.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	2:5
14.09.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	3:1
Coupe De France
07.02.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	3:1

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