Match Info

BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 6

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Ressacada (Florianópolis)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Brasileirao Play
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Fanatiz


	Avaí		Joinville

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.4	5
	1.6	3.35	5.2
	1.58	3.41	6.32
	1.59	3.4	6
	1.58	3.6	5.82
	1.6	3.35	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)	3.42 ↓ (3.5)	5.59 ↑ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
57.1%

Draw
26.6%

Joinville
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.9%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

25.5%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Avaí - Joinville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Cesar Augusto (G) 40. Burbano R. 99. Cleber 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 16. Jamerson 8. Joao Vitor 95. Jonathan Costa 63. Marcos Vinicius 33. Mario Sergio 35. Pedrao 77. Ze Ricardo	1. Bruno Pianissolla (G) 5. Breno Santos 9. Caion 11. Danilo Matielo 6. Ernandes 4. Guti 10. Julio Cesar 7. Keke 3. Naldo (C) 2. Ryan 8. Vinicius Paulista
Substitutes
78. Andrey 76. David 18. Gabryel F. 20. Gaspar 7. Hygor 1. Igor Bohn (G) 93. Judson 37. Rigley 41. Thayllon 9. Vagner Love 34. Wanderson	14. Carlos Alexandre 19. Cristian Renato 18. Erick Crispim 23. Gabriel Chagas 16. Joao Gabriel 21. Joao Mafra 22. Juninho 17. Lucas de Sa 25. Neto A. 20. Rickelme 12. Rodrigo Bazilio (G) 15. Yalle

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Keke 🟨,
45', Ernandes 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Burbano R. ↓, Hygor ↑,
46', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Gaspar ↑,
46', Cleber ↓, Vagner Love ↑,
46', Guti ↓, Carlos Alexandre ↑,
46', Vinicius Paulista ↓, Yalle ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Vagner Love ⚽,
67', Keke ↓, Juninho ↑,
69', Ze Ricardo ↓, Judson ↑,
77', Joao Vitor 🟨,
79', Yalle 🟨,
80', Danilo Matielo ↓, Rickelme ↑,
80', Julio Cesar ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
80', Jamerson ↓, Andrey ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Vagner Love ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Andrey ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
29.01.25	Chapecoense - Avaí	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Avaí - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
22.01.25	Caravaggio - Avaí	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Brusque - Avaí	0:0 ✺
15.01.25	Avaí - Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTTW
- Joinville
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
29.01.25	Criciúma - Joinville	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Joinville - Brusque	1:1 ✺
22.01.25	Joinville - Concórdia	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Barra Santa Catarina - Joinville	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	Joinville - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
16.03.24	Avaí - Joinville	4:0
09.03.24	Joinville - Avaí	1:1
07.02.24	Joinville - Avaí	2:2
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
12.10.23	Avaí - Joinville	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
05.03.23	Joinville - Avaí	3:0
12.02.22	Avaí - Joinville	0:0
07.04.21	Avaí - Joinville	1:0

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