Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 25

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Avangard Kursk		Rotor 2

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.85	4.75
	1.56	3.8	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.62)	3.83 ↑ (3.7)	4.83 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
58.4%

Draw
23.2%

Rotor 2
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

18.7%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Rotor 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avangard Kursk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotor 2 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rotor 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avangard Kursk - Rotor 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Platon A. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, Tarin Y. ⚽,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 9th and 15th in the Relegation).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Avangard Kursk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Avangard Kursk has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this matchup, Avangard Kursk is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Avangard Kursk has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Kursk	29	8	9	12	32:45	-13	33
14	R. Volgograd 2	29	6	4	19	19:41	-22	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
21.09.26	Kvant Obninsk - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Avangard Kursk - Salyut Belgorod	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Avangard Kursk - Oryol	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Rodina Moscow 3	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL
- Rotor 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.09.26	Rotor 2 - Volna Kovernino	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Ryazan - Rotor 2	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Rotor 2 - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:3 ✺
29.08.26	Rotor 2 - Kvant Obninsk	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Salyut Belgorod - Rotor 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
06.06.26	Rotor 2 - Avangard Kursk	1:2

Avangard Kursk - Rotor 2