Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 21

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Avangard Kursk		Rodina Moscow 3

	1	X	2
	2.21	3.64	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.19)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	2.83 (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avangard Kursk
41.9%

Draw
25.4%

Rodina Moscow 3
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

25.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

24.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avangard Kursk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Rodina Moscow 3 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Avangard Kursk - Rodina Moscow 3 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+5', Chudov A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Atamanskiy I. ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, Kazantsev A. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Avangard Kursk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Avangard Kursk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Rodina Moscow 3	26	12	4	10	50:41	9	40
9	Kursk	26	8	8	10	31:38	-7	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avangard Kursk
Russian Cup
25.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.08.26	Metallurg Lipetsk - Avangard Kursk	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Zenit Penza	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kristall-MEZ Borisoglebsk	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
09.08.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Avangard Kursk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWT
- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
22.08.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Volna Kovernino	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ryazan - Rodina Moscow 3	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Rotor 2	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kvant Obninsk - Rodina Moscow 3	1:4 ✺
25.07.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Salyut Belgorod	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
08.05.26	Rodina Moscow 3 - Avangard Kursk	2:3

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