The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kvant Obninsk 15.1%
Draw 18.6%
Avangard Kursk 66.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
17.6%
18.3%
64.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
12.6%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kvant Obninsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Avangard Kursk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvant Obninsk than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kvant Obninsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avangard Kursk than the current prediction. (-22.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Avangard Kursk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kvant Obninsk - Avangard Kursk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Zakharov D. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Shcherbiy N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 9th).
Kvant is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Avangard Kursk has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Avangard Kursk has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Avangard Kursk is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Kvant has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:8 (averaging 1.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kvant against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 3.5:1 per game).