Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 39

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Aveley		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.73
	4.9	3.85	1.63
	3.97	3.56	1.83
	5.38	3.7	1.64
	5.38	3.58	1.66
	4.9	3.85	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.74 ↓ (4.76)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
19.6%

Draw
25.3%

Eastbourne Borough
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

25.7%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

25.2%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Aveley - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Adigun J. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Alexander G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Aveley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eastbourne is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aveley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eastbourne is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aveley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
10.03.25	Aveley - Worthing	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Boreham Wood - Aveley	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Aveley - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Aveley - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	St Albans City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
08.03.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Bath City - Eastbourne Borough	0:0 ✺
25.02.25	Eastbourne Borough - Maidstone United	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:3 ✺
18.02.25	Enfield Town - Eastbourne Borough	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
24.08.24	Eastbourne Borough - Aveley	2:1
23.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - Aveley	1:2
14.08.23	Aveley - Eastbourne Borough	2:0

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