Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 25

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Aveley		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	2.46	3.15	2.6
	2.44	3.36	2.7
	2.49	3.36	2.73	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.62
	2.42	3.36	2.64
	2.46	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.52)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	2.65 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
37.3%

Draw
28.1%

Salisbury
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

28.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

27%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Aveley - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Watts C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
74', 1 - 1, Kawa D. ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, Hicks D. ⚽,
90+9', 2 - 2, Sommerton J. M. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 19).

Aveley is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Salisbury has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Salisbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
01.03.25	Aveley - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	St Albans City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Weymouth - Aveley	4:1 ✺
15.02.25	Aveley - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
11.02.25	Maidstone United - Aveley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.4 LLLLW
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
01.03.25	Maidstone United - Salisbury	3:2 ✺
25.02.25	Salisbury - Bath City	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Worthing - Salisbury	3:2 ✺
18.02.25	Chesham United - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Salisbury - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTL

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