Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 38

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Aveley		Worthing

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.65
	4.4	3.8	1.7
	4.32	3.81	1.7
	4.37	3.84	1.74	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.73
	4.45	3.8	1.69
	4.4	3.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↑ (4.09)	3.75 ↓ (3.84)	1.7 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
21.1%

Draw
24.6%

Worthing
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

24.1%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

23.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Aveley - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Lewis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
77', 1 - 1, Cashman D. ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Cashman D. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Aveley has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Worthing is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Worthing have a series of home games.

In this match Worthing is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
08.03.25	Boreham Wood - Aveley	1:0 ✺
03.03.25	Aveley - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
01.03.25	Aveley - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	St Albans City - Aveley	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	Weymouth - Aveley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
08.03.25	Worthing - Chesham United	3:0 ✺
04.03.25	Worthing - Bath City	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Worthing - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Worthing - Salisbury	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.11.24	Worthing - Aveley	2:1
03.02.24	Aveley - Worthing	0:3
19.08.23	Worthing - Aveley	1:2

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