Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Aveley		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.2	2.6
	2.5	3.4	2.6
	2.48	3.44	2.6
	2.49	3.51	2.64	Watch
	2.48	3.32	2.6
	2.5	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.25)	3.38 ↑ (3.26)	2.61 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
37.3%

Draw
27.3%

Weymouth
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

27.5%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Weymouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aveley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Weymouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aveley - Weymouth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Brooks C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 24 in the zone Relegation).

The competitors look crappy now.

Weymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
26.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Aveley	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Enfield Town - Aveley	2:4 ✺
12.10.24	Aveley - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Farnborough - Aveley	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Aveley - Truro City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLLL
- Weymouth
English National League South
26.10.24	Weymouth - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Bath City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Weymouth - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Forest Green Rovers - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
English National League South
05.10.24	Enfield Town - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.03.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:2
25.11.23	Weymouth - Aveley	1:1

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