Match Info

ITALY: Coppa Italia Serie C - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 252


	Giana Erminio		Avellino

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.65	3.25	2
	3.64	3.26	2
	3.63	3.34	1.95	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.8
	3.59	3.38	1.91
	3.65	3.25	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (4.37)	3.25 ↓ (3.37)	1.94 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
24.9%

Draw
28.1%

Avellino
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

27.3%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

27%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avellino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giana Erminio - Avellino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 27. Alborghetti M. 23. Caferri L. 18. De Maria V. 10. Lamesta A. 14. Marotta M. 8. Montipo M. 7. Pinto D. 26. Previtali N. 99. Renda F. 47. Scaringi M.	77. Marson L. (G) 21. Armellino M. 33. Benedetti S. 57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 35. Gori G. 94. Liotti D. 60. Llano Massa M. T. 10. Russo R. 24. Sounas D. 19. Tribuzzi A.
Substitutes
17. Avinci G. 15. Ballabio M. 73. Buzzi E. 13. Colombara M. 6. Ferri L. 29. Moro L. (G) 4. Nichetti M. 21. Pala A. 1. Pirola C. (G) 24. Pirotta D. 19. Stuckler D.	51. Arzillo V. 56. Enrici P. 38. Frascatore P. 91. Vano M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Montipo M. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Renda F. ⚽,
43', Cionek T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Montipo M. ⚽,
57', Tribuzzi A. ↓, Rocca M. ↑,
57', Sounas D. ↓, Toscano M. ↑,
58', Campanile A. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
60', Marotta M. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
60', Previtali N. ↓, Ferri L. ↑,
70', Renda F. ↓, Stuckler D. ↑,
74', De Maria V. 🟨,
77', De Maria V. ↓, Colombara M. ↑,
77', Montipo M. ↓, Ballabio M. ↑,
80', Benedetti S. ↓, Redan D. ↑,
87', Vano M. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Giana Erminio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Avellino is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Avellino is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
14.12.24	Giana Erminio - Alcione	0:2 ✺
07.12.24	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Giana Erminio - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.24	Trento - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTWL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
13.12.24	Altamura - Avellino	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Avellino - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
02.12.24	Monopoli - Avellino	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.24	Giugliano - Avellino	2:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
23.11.24	Avellino - Catania	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTWT

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