Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 22

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Domenico Monterisi (Cerignola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	RaiPlay, RAI Sport
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+


	Audace Cerignola		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.87	2.65
	2.48	2.6	2.7
	2.74	2.88	2.84	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.8
	2.67	2.69	2.75	Watch
	2.48	2.6	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.54)	2.75 ↓ (3.14)	2.74 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
34.9%

Draw
32.5%

Avellino
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

28.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

29.6%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	53.8%	23.1%

Audace Cerignola - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Saracco U. (G) 7. Coccia G. 6. Visentin S. 55. Martinelli L. 3. Russo L. 8. Tascone M. 5. Capomaggio G. 25. Romano R. 19. Achik I. 10. Ruggiero Z. 9. Salvemini F.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 38. Frascatore P. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 29. Cancellotti T. 4. De Cristofaro A. 6. Palmiero L. 21. Armellino M. 7. D'Ausilio M. 9. Patierno C. 91. Panico G.
Substitutes
13. Bianchini G. 24. Carnevale A. 18. Faggioli A. 22. Fares G. (G) 56. Gonnelli L. 1. Greco S. (G) 50. Ingrosso G. 17. Jallow S. 20. Miguel Angel 11. Parigini V. 72. Pio Carrozza G. 21. Velasquez S. 77. Volpe G.	57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 28. De Salvo U. 35. Gori G. 22. Guarnieri M. (G) 60. Llano Massa M. T. 79. Manzi C. 77. Marson L. (G) 11. Redan D. 10. Russo R. 2. Todisco G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Visentin S. 🟨,
31', Tascone M. 🟨,
40', Cancellotti T. 🟨,
45', Enrici P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Ruggiero Z. ↓, Bianchini G. ↑,
65', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
71', Russo L. ↓, Volpe G. ↑,
76', Panico G. ↓, Redan D. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Volpe G. ⚽,
79', Volpe G. 🟨,
80', Capomaggio G. 🟨,
84', Armellino M. ↓, Campanile A. ↑,
84', Frascatore P. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
86', Coccia G. 🟨,
87', Coccia G. ↓, Gonnelli L. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, De Cristofaro A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
05.01.25	ACR Messina - Audace Cerignola	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Audace Cerignola - Juventus U23	3:3 ✺
16.12.24	Latina - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
06.12.24	Audace Cerignola - Altamura	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Benevento - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
05.01.25	Giugliano - Avellino	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Avellino - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.12.24	Giana Erminio - Avellino	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
13.12.24	Altamura - Avellino	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Avellino - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
08.09.24	Avellino - Audace Cerignola	0:0
03.03.24	Audace Cerignola - Avellino	1:1
25.10.23	Avellino - Audace Cerignola	1:0
12.02.23	Audace Cerignola - Avellino	3:1
15.10.22	Avellino - Audace Cerignola	1:1

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