Match Info

Serie B - Round 3

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi (Avellino)

Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball


	Avellino		Monza

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	2.05	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.25
	3.55	3.05	2.1
	3.93	3.15	2.19
	1.53	3.42	8.03	Watch
	3.58	3.22	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.18)	3.19 ↓ (3.27)	3.13 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avellino
32.7%

Draw
33.3%

Monza
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.8%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

29.1%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Monza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Avellino - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Avellino will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Monza will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 3 - 50%). Monza (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 63. Fontanarosa A. 78. Milani A. 44. Simic L. 2. Missori F. 56. Enrici P. 24. Sounas D. 94. Insigne R. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 14. Biasci T. 17. Crespi V.	20. Thiam D. (G) 15. Delli Carri F. 4. Izzo A. 3. Lucchesi L. 19. Birindelli S. 21. Colombo L. 14. Obiang P. 7. Azzi P. 23. Galazzi N. 10. Caprari G. 47. Mota D. (C)
Substitutes
21. Armellino M. 39. Besaggio M. 29. Cancellotti T. 30. Daffara G. (G) 8. Gyabuaa M. 16. Kumi J. 32. Lescano F. 79. Manzi C. 28. Marchisano M. 20. Palumbo M. 33. Panico G. 10. Russo R.	25. Alvarez A. 24. Bakoune A. 17. Balde K. 27. Capolupo S. 44. Carboni A. 26. Ciurria P. 33. Domanico S. 9. Maric M. 32. Pessina M. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 16. Sardo J.
Coaches
Biancolino R.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Simic L. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Azzi P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
66', Colombo L. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
66', Caprari G. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
72', Palmiero L. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
72', Insigne R. ↓, Besaggio M. ↑,
72', Galazzi N. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
73', Mota D. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
81', Crespi V. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
81', Sounas D. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
85', Milani A. ↓, Cancellotti T. ↑,
86', Delli Carri F. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Russo R. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Avellino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monza has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Monza might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Avellino: Cagnano A. (Red Card) D'Andrea L. (Muscle Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Palmiero L. (Muscle Injury) Pane P. (Inactive) Rigione M. (Inactive) Tutino G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Bakoune A. (Shoulder Injury) Colpani A. (Inactive) Izzo A. (Inactive) Zeroli K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Monza: Forson O. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Avellino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
31.08.25	Modena - Avellino	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Frosinone - Avellino	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
10.08.25	Avellino - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.25	Avellino - Picerno	3:1 ✺
26.07.25	Avellino - Lazio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWL
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
31.08.25	Bari - Monza	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Monza - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Monza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.25	Monza - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Atalanta - Monza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
11.08.13	Avellino - Monza	1:0

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