Match Info

Serie B - Round 1

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Monza		Mantova

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.1
	1.75	3.6	4.35	Watch
	1.77	3.73	5.14
	1.67	4.04	4.51	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.74	3.93	4.37	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)	3.74 ↑ (3.45)	4.37 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
53.3%

Draw
25.2%

Mantova
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.8%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	25%	8.3%

Monza - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 26. Ciurria P. 19. Birindelli S. 3. Lucchesi L. 4. Izzo A. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 13. Ravanelli L. 47. Mota D. 10. Caprari G. 7. Azzi P.	1. Festa M. (C) 17. Radaelli N. 6. Bani C. 21. Trimboli S. 3. Mantovani V. 29. Cella S. 28. Caprini M. 37. Majer Z. 30. Bragantini D. 18. Falletti C. 9. Mancuso L.
Substitutes
17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 15. Delli Carri F. 23. Galazzi N. 9. Maric M. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 16. Sardo J. 43. Strajnar A. (G)	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 27. Castellini A. 20. Fedel G. 11. Fiori A. 14. Galuppini F. 96. Maggioni T. 23. Marras T. 7. Mensah D. 4. Mullen S. 36. Paoletti F. 53. Pittino T. 10. Wieser D.
Coaches
Bianco P.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ciurria P. 🟨,
32', Birindelli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Radaelli N. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Izzo A. ⚽, Ciurria P. (A),
60', Radaelli N. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
60', Falletti C. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
68', Ciurria P. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
69', Caprari G. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
70', Mensah D. 🟨,
71', Bragantini D. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
79', Mota D. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
79', Pessina M. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
81', Trimboli S. 🟨,
82', Caprini M. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
82', Majer Z. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
89', Lucchesi L. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
90', Balde K. 🟨,

Preview

Monza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Recently, Monza has had a series of home games.

In this match, Monza is a strong favorite.

There are questionable in Monza: Birindelli S. (Injury) D'Ambrosio D. (Ankle Injury) Forson O. (Injury) Gagliardini R. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Monza - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.25	Monza - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
06.08.25	Atalanta - Monza	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Monza - AlbinoLeffe	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Monza - Alcione	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLWW
- Mantova FC
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Venezia - Mantova	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Lumezzane - Mantova	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Mantova - Cesena	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Genoa - Mantova	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Mantova - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
14.03.15	Monza - Mantova	0:1
25.10.14	Mantova - Monza	0:0
Italian Lega Pro C2/A
23.03.14	Mantova - Monza	0:1
16.11.13	Monza - Mantova	1:2
17.03.13	Mantova - Monza	0:2

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