Match Info

BRAZIL: Gaucho - Round 7

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio dos Eucaliptos (Porto Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV 3, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Avenida		Juventude

	1	X	2
	7	3.5	1.57	Watch
	6	3.25	1.56	Watch
	8.71	3.25	1.58
	7.39	3.26	1.55	Watch
	6	3.3	1.57
	6.11	3.6	1.56	Watch
	6	3.25	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.74 ↑ (4.51)	3.34 ↑ (3.29)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avenida
13.6%

Draw
27.5%

Juventude
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

27.5%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

27.2%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avenida's form might have worsened.

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventude's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avenida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventude, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Avenida - Juventude Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodrigo Mama (C) 5. Amaral 10. Bustamante H. 9. Caique 6. David Luis 2. Kevlin 7. Laion 11. Matheus Martins 3. Paniagua M. 4. Rafael Klein 8. Ze Vitor	1. Gustavo (G) 27. Batalla E. 5. Cipriano 7. Erick Farias 2. Ewerthon 6. Felipinho 8. Giraldo D. 16. Jadson (C) 44. Mandaca 47. Marcos Paulo 37. Petterson
Substitutes
19. Brayan 12. Gabriel Toebe (G) 21. Gorgoroso Y. 16. Jimenez J. 20. JP Bardales 22. Ronald (G) 17. Tallyson 14. Vitorio Poletto 13. Yander	28. Alan Ruschel 88. Davi Goes 19. Gabriel Taliari 11. Giovanny 20. Jean Carlos 38. Kawan 15. Kelvi Gomes 77. Luiz Henrique 12. Marcao (G) 10. Nene 93. Reginaldo 98. Vitor Pernambuco

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Caique ⚽,
35', Cipriano ↓, Kawan ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Petterson ↓, Giovanny ↑,
46', Mandaca ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
60', Bustamante H. ↓, Tallyson ↑,
60', Matheus Martins ↓, JP Bardales ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Erick Farias ⚽,
70', Ze Vitor ↓, Gorgoroso Y. ↑,
70', Caique ↓, Brayan ↑,
72', Felipinho 🟨,
77', Felipinho ↓, Alan Ruschel ↑,
83', Jadson ↓, Nene ↑,
84', Amaral 🟨,
90+2', Amaral ↓, Yander ↑,
90+3', Yander 🟨,

Preview

Avenida has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Juventude is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Juventude could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Juventude is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.02.25	Monsoon - Avenida	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Avenida - Caxias	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Internacional RS - Avenida	1:0 ✺
30.01.25	EC Pelotas - Avenida	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Avenida - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.02.25	Juventude - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:1 ✺
05.02.25	Juventude - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Caxias - Juventude	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Juventude - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Internacional RS - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
07.02.24	Juventude - Avenida	3:1
02.02.23	Juventude - Avenida	1:0
20.03.19	Juventude - Avenida	1:0
05.02.18	Avenida - Juventude	2:2
16.03.15	Juventude - Avenida	1:1

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