Match Info

Gaucho - Relegation - Round 4

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Francisco Novelletto Neto (Porto Alegre)


	Monsoon		Avenida

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.6	4.1	Watch
				Watch
	2.25	2.88	2.79
	2.48	2.52	3.71	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3.2
	2.37	2.5	3.61	Watch
	2.42	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.41)	2.67 ↓ (2.81)	3.4 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monsoon
38.9%

Draw
34.2%

Avenida
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

32.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

33.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monsoon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monsoon than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Monsoon - Avenida Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.40) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor Pavan (G) 2. Camargo 14. Ricardo Thalheimer (C) 3. Yago Alves 6. Para 8. Vinicius Garcia 5. Leo Hanna 11. Matheus Candido 10. Luan Santos 7. Caio Rangel 9. Fabinho Polhao	1. Rodrigo Mama (C) 11. Ranisson 4. Ze Pedro 3. Rodrigo Milanez 2. Cristian Lessa 6. Vinicius Silva 10. Ramirez J. 8. Anderson Uchoa 5. Anderson Recife 9. Wellisson 7. Xandy
Substitutes
17. Brian Demski 15. Carlos Gabriel 19. Hannyel 21. Henrique Marcos 13. Jonathan Cabeca 12. Marcelo Ribeiro (G) 18. Mikael Costa 24. Rena (G) 20. Rick Sena 16. Talyssson Lalau	16. Adryel Itaqui 21. Emerson Junior 18. Emerson Tucao 14. Jo 17. Luisinho 22. Maicon (G) 19. Matheus Rodrigues 12. Ronaldo (G) 30. Tinga 23. Yuri
Coaches
Costa A.	Gabriel Dutra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Ramirez J. 🟨,
34', Vinicius Garcia 🟨,
34', Ze Pedro 🟨,
38', Leo Hanna 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ramirez J. ↓, Adryel Itaqui ↑,
46', Xandy ↓, Emerson Junior ↑,
62', Vinicius Garcia ↓, Jonathan Cabeca ↑,
62', Matheus Candido ↓, Mikael Costa ↑,
65', Adryel Itaqui 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Jonathan Cabeca ⚽,
73', Anderson Recife ↓, Matheus Rodrigues ↑,
78', Cristian Lessa ↓, Yuri ↑,
82', Luan Santos ↓, Carlos Gabriel ↑,
82', Camargo ↓, Henrique Marcos ↑,
83', Rena 🟥,
83', Marcelo Ribeiro 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Adryel Itaqui ⚽,
87', Leo Hanna ↓, Hannyel ↑,
89', Ranisson ↓, Jo ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Monsoon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monsoon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Monsoon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monsoon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
14.02.26	Avenida - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Monsoon - Inter Santa Maria	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Monsoon - São Luiz	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Juventude - Monsoon	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTTTL
- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
14.02.26	Avenida - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
09.02.26	Avenida - Guarany de Bagé	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Inter Santa Maria - Avenida	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Inter Santa Maria - Avenida	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Avenida - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
14.02.26	Avenida - Monsoon	1:1
18.01.26	Monsoon - Avenida	0:0
09.02.25	Monsoon - Avenida	2:1

Monsoon - Avenida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide