Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO GAUCHO - ROUND 8

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Avenida		Esportivo Bento Gonçalves

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.75	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3	3.6
	1.95	2.8	4.2
	1.99	2.8	4.31
	1.95	2.88	4
	1.94	3.14	4.15
	2.04	2.95	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.94)	2.9 ↑ (2.82)	3.97 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avenida
45.6%

Draw
31.4%

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

32.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avenida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Avenida - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Avenida is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Avenida is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Avenida won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
12.02.23	Grêmio - Avenida	2:0 ✺
09.02.23	Avenida - Aimoré	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Avenida - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	Juventude - Avenida	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Avenida - Ypiranga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLW
- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
11.02.23	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Novo Hamburgo	0:0 ✺
08.02.23	São Luiz - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Caxias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	3:1 ✺
01.02.23	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
24.07.22	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Avenida	1:0
17.07.22	Avenida - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1

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