Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO GAUCHO - ROUND 7

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves		Novo Hamburgo

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.3	Watch
	3.1	2.87	2.3
	3.02	2.61	2.69
	3.25	2.7	2.3
	2.97	2.98	2.49
	3.1	2.9	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (3.03)	2.82 ↓ (2.89)	2.4 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
29.7%

Draw
32.3%

Novo Hamburgo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

31.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

32.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Novo Hamburgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esportivo Bento Gonçalves than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Novo Hamburgo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Esportivo Bento Gonçalves is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hamburgo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Esportivo Bento Gonçalves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Esportivo Bento Gonçalves won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esportivo Bento Gonçalves
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.23	São Luiz - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Caxias - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	3:1 ✺
01.02.23	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
26.01.23	Aimoré - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLLT
- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.02.23	Novo Hamburgo - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Novo Hamburgo - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
02.02.23	São Luiz - Novo Hamburgo	1:0 ✺
30.01.23	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	0:0 ✺
26.01.23	Ypiranga - Novo Hamburgo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
29.03.21	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Novo Hamburgo	1:2
08.03.20	Novo Hamburgo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1

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