Match Info

Gaucho - Relegation - Round 3

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Eucaliptos (Santa Cruz do Sul)


	Avenida		Monsoon

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.4	Watch
				Watch
	2.11	2.91	3
	2.14	3.05	3.63	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.08	2.88	3.69	Watch
	2.08	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.26)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)	3.48 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avenida
43%

Draw
30.9%

Monsoon
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

32.6%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.4%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avenida than the current prediction. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Monsoon aligns with the current prediction.

Avenida - Monsoon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Monsoon (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monsoon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodrigo Mama (C) 2. Cristian Lessa 3. Rodrigo Milanez 4. Matheus Santos 6. Vinicius Silva 8. Anderson Uchoa 5. Anderson Recife 7. Xandy 30. Tinga 11. Emerson Tucao 9. Wellisson	1. Igor Pavan (G) 2. Camargo 3. Yuri Bigode 14. Ricardo Thalheimer (C) 6. Para 8. Vinicius Garcia 5. Leo Hanna 7. Caio Rangel 10. Luan Santos 11. Matheus Candido 9. Fabinho Polhao
Substitutes
16. Adryel Itaqui 15. Edmilson 20. Emerson Junior 14. Jo 21. Luisinho 22. Maicon (G) 19. Matheus Rodrigues 10. Ramirez J. 12. Ronaldo (G) 23. Yuri 25. Ze Pedro	17. Brian Demski 15. Carlos Gabriel 19. Hannyel 4. Hiago Cena 12. Marcelo Ribeiro (G) 18. Mikael Costa 24. Rena (G) 20. Rick Sena 16. Talyssson Lalau 13. Yago Alves
Coaches
Gabriel Dutra	Baier P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Yuri Bigode ↓, Hiago Cena ↑,
44', Tinga 🟨,
45+3', Vinicius Garcia 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Emerson Tucao ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Ramirez J. ⚽, Vinicius Silva (A),
63', Camargo 🟨,
66', Henrique Marcos ↓, Rick Sena ↑,
69', Rick Sena 🟨,
71', Tinga ↓, Luisinho ↑,
71', Xandy ↓, Emerson Junior ↑,
76', Luan Santos ↓, Yago Alves ↑,
76', Para ↓, Hannyel ↑,
76', Hiago Cena ↓, Carlos Gabriel ↑,
87', Luisinho 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Fabinho Polhao (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Anderson Recife ↓, Adryel Itaqui ↑,
90+8', Matheus Santos 🟥,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Avenida is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Avenida won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Avenida
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.02.26	Avenida - Guarany de Bagé	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Inter Santa Maria - Avenida	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Inter Santa Maria - Avenida	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Avenida - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Avenida - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLTW
- Monsoon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.02.26	Monsoon - Inter Santa Maria	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Monsoon - São Luiz	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Juventude - Monsoon	3:0 ✺
22.01.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Monsoon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.01.26	Monsoon - Avenida	0:0
09.02.25	Monsoon - Avenida	2:1

Avenida - Monsoon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide