Match Info

Gaucho - Round 5

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Juventude		Monsoon

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.1	8.5	Watch
	1.34	4.35	8.6	Watch
	1.36	4.3	9.46
	1.35	4.67	8.91	Watch
	1.33	3.8	10
	1.33	4.1	9.65	Watch
	1.36	4.25	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)	4.22 ↑ (4.15)	9.16 ↑ (8.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
68.2%

Draw
21.8%

Monsoon
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

22%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Juventude - Monsoon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Juventude (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 2. Rai Ramos 44. Mandaca 8. Lucas Mineiro 7. Pablo Roberto 30. Patryck 19. Gabriel Taliari 25. Alisson Safira	1. Igor Pavan (G) 2. Camargo 3. Hiago Cena 14. Ricardo Thalheimer 6. Para 5. Banguele 10. Jean Carlo (C) 8. Jonathan Cabeca 11. Fabinho 7. Matheus Candido 9. Fabinho Polhao
Substitutes
23. Abner 28. Alan Ruschel 17. Castro M. 18. Emerson Galego 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 48. Guilherme Teixeira 70. Juan Christian 15. Leo Indio 26. Ly I. 10. Marcos Paulo 27. Ray Breno 21. Ruan Carneiro (G)	20. Anderson 17. Caio Rangel 13. Carlos Gabriel 19. Elieser 23. Hannyel 16. Henrique Marcos 22. Luan Santos 12. Rena (G) 21. Rick Sena 18. Talyssson Lalau 15. Vinicius Garcia 4. Yago Alves
Coaches
Mauricio Barbieri	Baier P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', Camargo 🟨,
30', Rai Ramos 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Sam ⚽, Marcos Paulo (A),
44', Matheus Candido 🟨,
45+2', Jonathan Cabeca 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Hiago Cena ↓, Yago Alves ↑,
46', Jonathan Cabeca ↓, Caio Rangel ↑,
46', Camargo ↓, Medina F. ↑,
55', Yago Alves 🟨,
57', Pablo Roberto ↓, Marcos Paulo ↑,
57', Messias 🟨,
59', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
64', Fabinho ↓, Elieser ↑,
65', Rodrigo Sam ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
65', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Juan Christian ↑,
66', Rai Ramos ↓, Castro M. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Patryck ⚽, Alisson Safira (A),
75', Banguele ↓, Vinicius Garcia ↑,
83', Alisson Safira ↓, Emerson Galego ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Juan Christian ⚽,
87', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,

Preview

Juventude is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juventude is the clear favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.01.26	Juventude - Caxias	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Inter Santa Maria - Juventude	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Juventude - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Corinthians - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTTT
- Monsoon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.01.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Monsoon	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Monsoon - Avenida	0:0 ✺
15.01.26	Monsoon - Internacional RS	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Ypiranga - Monsoon	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTLTL

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