Match Info

Gaucho - Round 4

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Francisco Novelletto Neto (Porto Alegre)


	EC São José Porto Alegre		Monsoon

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.3	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5.75
	1.55	3.55	5.9
	1.62	3.5	6.07
	1.57	3.2	5.5
	1.57	3.38	5.99	Watch
	1.6	3.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.73)	3.4 ↑ (3.18)	5.85 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
57.7%

Draw
26.8%

Monsoon
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

28.6%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC São José Porto Alegre's performance.

Monsoon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

EC São José Porto Alegre - Monsoon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio Rampi (G) 2. Danilo Guimaraes 3. Eduardo Melo 13. Tiago Pedra 6. Angelo 14. Rafael Carillho 5. Keverton 8. Ze Vitor 11. Ronald Barcellos 9. Douglas Oliveira 7. Caua	1. Igor Pavan (G) 2. Camargo 14. Ricardo Thalheimer 3. Hiago Cena 6. Para 10. Jean Carlo (C) 5. Banguele 8. Jonathan Cabeca 11. Leo Hanna 9. Fabinho Polhao 7. Matheus Candido
Substitutes
17. Adao 18. Anderson 20. Andrey Nunes 22. Dieter 4. Diney 16. Gustavo Bagatini 10. Gustavo Wallison 21. Lucao 19. Pedrinho 12. Peralta A. (G) 15. Raphael Soares 24. William	20. Anderson 17. Caio Rangel 13. Carlos Gabriel 19. Elieser 23. Hannyel 16. Henrique Marcos 22. Luan Santos 12. Rena (G) 21. Rick Sena 18. Talyssson Lalau 15. Vinicius Garcia 4. Yago Alves
Coaches
Gabardo Junior	Baier P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Danilo Guimaraes ↓, William ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Keverton ↓, Gustavo Wallison ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Jean Carlo ⚽,
51', Eduardo Melo 🟨,
55', Fabinho Polhao 🟨,
55', Rafael Carillho 🟨,
64', Douglas Oliveira ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
65', Igor Pavan 🟨,
67', Fabinho Polhao ↓, Hannyel ↑,
68', Jean Carlo ↓, Anderson ↑,
72', Jonathan Cabeca ↓, Vinicius Garcia ↑,
76', Caua ↓, Lucao ↑,
76', Ronald Barcellos ↓, Andrey Nunes ↑,
84', Leo Hanna ↓, Henrique Marcos ↑,
85', Matheus Candido ↓, Yago Alves ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Andrey Nunes ⚽, William (A),
90+2', 1 - 2, Vinicius Garcia ⚽, Hannyel (A),
90+3', Ze Vitor 🟨,

Preview

Monsoon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, EC São José is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, EC São José won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
17.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Grêmio - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Inter Santa Maria	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Goiatuba	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Goiatuba - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 TWTLT
- Monsoon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.01.26	Monsoon - Avenida	0:0 ✺
15.01.26	Monsoon - Internacional RS	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Guarany de Bagé - Monsoon	1:1 ✺
24.02.25	Ypiranga - Monsoon	2:1 penalties ✺
20.02.25	Monsoon - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
12.02.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Monsoon	1:1

EC São José Porto Alegre - Monsoon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide