Match Info

Date: 9 February 2020, Sunday


	Aves		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.2
	3.55	3.1	2.14	Watch
	3.43	3.15	2.12
	3.71	3.2	2.19
	3.6	3.2	2.15
	3.62	3.24	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.23)	3.19 ↓ (3.23)	2.16 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aves
26.8%

Draw
29.6%

Rio Ave
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29.2%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aves than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Ave could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Aves - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Aves will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 54.7% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Aves
Liga Portugal
02.02.20	Marítimo - Aves	1:2 ✺
26.01.20	Aves - Boavista	0:1 ✺
18.01.20	Aves - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
10.01.20	Benfica - Aves	2:1 ✺
04.01.20	Aves - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWLL
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
31.01.20	Rio Ave - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
27.01.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
19.01.20	Rio Ave - Boavista	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.01.20	Benfica - Rio Ave	3:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
10.01.20	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
23.08.19	Rio Ave - Aves	5:1
31.03.19	Rio Ave - Aves	0:2
10.11.18	Aves - Rio Ave	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
13.10.18	Aves - Rio Ave	3:0
Liga Portugal
23.02.18	Rio Ave - Aves	0:0
Taça de Portugal
10.01.18	Rio Ave - Aves	4:5 penalties
Liga Portugal
24.09.17	Aves - Rio Ave	0:0

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