The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rio Ave 25.3%
Draw 28.3%
Famalicão 46.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.8%
28.1%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
27.8%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.4%
21.4%
57.1%
Rio Ave - Famalicão Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Famalicão will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 35% – 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Vitor Hugo (G) 20. Tome J. 23. Petrasso F. 5. Ntoi A. 17. Vrousai M. (C) 90. Nascimento D. 54. Liavas G. 80. Clemmensen S. 79. Patricio M. 7. Diogo Bezerra 11. Blesa J.
25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 15. Rofino V. G. 3. Realpe L. 2. Garcia 6. Van de Looi T. (C) 21. Szucs T. 18. Beney R. 14. De Amorim M. 7. Sorriso 70. Koutsias G.
Substitutes
60. Caike 30. Galcik R. 3. Garcia S. 39. Gustavo Mancha 44. Nikitscher T. 8. Ryan Guilherme 19. Sellouki M. 77. Spikic D. 9. Tamble 99. van der Gouw E. (G) 70. Wenck A. 2. Ze Carlos
9. Abubakar U. 11. Aranda O. 72. Correia J. 22. Gabriel Cabral (G) 24. Jangeal M. 19. Moreira P. 8. Pena M. 33. Salas P. 10. Santos P. 30. Serafimovic V. 4. van Breemen F. 1. Zlobin I. (G)
Coaches
Seabra V.
Carvalhal C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Seabra V. 🟨,
42', Patricio M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
48', 0 - 1, Beney R. ⚽, Pinheiro R. (A),
60', Szucs T. ↓, Salas P. ↑,
60', Koutsias G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
66', Nascimento D. ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
66', Beney R. ↓, Moreira P. ↑,
66', Tome J. ↓, Ze Carlos ↑,
76', Patricio M. ↓, Galcik R. ↑,
81', Ze Carlos 🟨,
81', 0 - 2, Santos P. ⚽, Sorriso (A),
82', Liavas G. ↓, Spikic D. ↑,
82', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Tamble ↑,
83', Van de Looi T. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
83', Sorriso ↓, Aranda O. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Aranda O. ⚽, Santos P. (A),
90+3', Petrasso F. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 4, Aranda O. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 15th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Famalicão may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Famalicão is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Rio Ave: Abbey N.
(Inactive)
Aguilera Zamora B.
(Knee Injury)
Miszta C.
(Back Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Famalicão: Mattara M.
(Injury).
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Rio Ave has recorded 1 win, 10 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:18 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rio Ave against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 7 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Usa
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Vitor Hugo (G) 
Tome J. 
Petrasso F. 
Ntoi A. 
Clemmensen S. 
Blesa J. 
Carevic L. (G) 
Rofino V. G. 
Realpe L. 
Van de Looi T. (C) 
Szucs T. 
Beney R. 
Galcik R. 
Garcia S. 
Sellouki M. 
Spikic D. 
Wenck A. 
Abubakar U. 
Salas P. 
Serafimovic V. 
Zlobin I. (G) 
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