Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 31

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques (Guimarães)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Antel TV
Usa	Fubo Latino


	Vitoria Guimarães		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.1
	1.88	3.25	4.25
	1.88	3.45	4.84
	1.83	3.4	4.64	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.9
	1.9	3.43	4.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.82)	3.42 ↑ (3.32)	4.41 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães
51%

Draw
27.6%

Rio Ave
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

30.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	13.3%	20%

Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rio Ave (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Charles Silva (G) 2. Maga 4. Rivas Viondi O. 28. Thiago Balieiro 13. Mendes J. II. 16. Beni 23. Sousa D. 19. Camara O. 20. Samu (C) 48. Saviolo N. 11. Gustavo	1. Miszta C. (G) 17. Vrousai M. (C) 32. Brabec J. 39. Gustavo Mancha 6. Abbey N. 44. Nikitscher T. 5. Ntoi A. 7. Diogo Bezerra 80. Pohlmann O. 18. Spikic D. 11. Blesa J.
Substitutes
26. Abascal R. 18. Arcanjo T. 25. Castillo J. (G) 17. Lebedenko O. 6. Mitrovic M. 30. Nogueira G. 88. Nogueira M. 7. Oliveira N. 66. Strata T.	54. Liavas G. 63. Lomboto J. 9. Monteiro T. 23. Petrasso F. 25. Rafael Lobato 77. Richards O. 8. Ryan Guilherme 20. Tome J. 99. van der Gouw E. (G)
Coaches
Lameiras G.	Sylaidopoulos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Ntoi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Gustavo 🟨,
58', Maga ↓, Strata T. ↑,
58', Sousa D. ↓, Nogueira G. ↑,
58', Camara O. ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,
60', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
61', Nikitscher T. 🟨,
62', Thiago Balieiro 🟨,
68', Saviolo N. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
69', Spikic D. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
69', Pohlmann O. ↓, Ryan Guilherme ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Samu ⚽, Gustavo (A),
77', Abbey N. ↓, Richards O. ↑,
77', Nikitscher T. ↓, Monteiro T. ↑,
79', Diogo Bezerra 🟨,
80', Samu 🟨,
81', Gustavo ↓, Oliveira N. ↑,
86', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Rafael Lobato ↑,
90+3', Strata T. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, Strata T. ⚽, Beni (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.

Guimarães has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rio Ave is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rio Ave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guimarães is the team to beat.

There will not play in Guimarães: Ndoye A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Vitoria Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
18.04.26	Gil Vicente - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	AVS - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Tondela	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Benfica - Vitoria Guimarães	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLL
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
17.04.26	Rio Ave - AVS	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Rio Ave - Alverca	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Rio Ave - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
13.12.25	Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1
27.04.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave	3:0
16.12.24	Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães	2:2
04.05.24	Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1
23.12.23	Vitoria Guimarães - Rio Ave	1:0
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1
Liga Portugal
14.05.23	Rio Ave - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1

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