Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 5

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Santa Clara		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.20	4.10	Watch
	1.98	3.20	3.90
	1.91	3.30	4.20	Watch
	2.04	3.16	4.54
	1.96	3.19	4.38	Watch
	2.01	3.10	4.30
	2.02	3.32	4.25	Watch
	1.98	3.20	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)	3.21 ↓ (3.34)	4.22 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Clara
48%

Draw
29.6%

Rio Ave
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.3%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

28.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Rio Ave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Santa Clara - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Franca (G) 42. Lucas Soares 4. Pacheco P. 21. Fernandes E. 5. Guilherme Romao 6. Ferreira P. 8. Tavares J. 70. Vinicius Lopes 20. Ribeiro T. 10. Brenner 9. Paciencia G. (C)	99. van der Gouw E. (G) 54. Liavas G. 23. Petrasso F. 39. Gustavo Mancha 17. Vrousai M. (C) 44. Nikitscher T. 5. Ntoi A. 7. Diogo Bezerra 11. Blesa J. 77. Spikic D. 9. Tamble
Substitutes
41. Daniel Borges 18. Duarte A. 80. Duarte T. 7. Fernando 73. Leo Jaco 25. Medeiros F. 12. Neneca (G) 3. Silva H. 99. Sorriso 17. Vasconcelos 22. Vitinho 11. Welinton Torrao	67. Alves S. 24. Amaral P. 60. Caike 22. Chamorro K. (G) 80. Clemmensen S. 30. Galcik R. 27. Medina T. 79. Patricio M. 98. Real R. (G) 19. Sellouki M. 20. Tome J. 70. Wenck A.
Coaches
Petit	Sylaidopoulos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Brenner ⚽, Vinicius Lopes (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Spikic D. ↓, Clemmensen S. ↑,
46', Vrousai M. ↓, Amaral P. ↑,
46', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Sellouki M. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Ribeiro T. ⚽, Paciencia G. (A),
52', 3 - 0, Vinicius Lopes ⚽,
64', Tamble ↓, Galcik R. ↑,
66', Ribeiro T. ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
66', Brenner ↓, Sorriso ↑,
76', Paciencia G. ↓, Fernando ↑,
76', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Vasconcelos ↑,
77', Ntoi A. ↓, Tome J. ↑,
83', Nikitscher T. 🟨,
84', Daniel Borges 🟨,
85', Tavares J. ↓, Medeiros F. ↑,
90', 4 - 0, Fernando ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 2.

Santa Clara is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rio Ave has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Santa Clara is the team to beat.

There will not play in Santa Clara: MT (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Rio Ave: Aguilera Zamora B. (Knee Injury) Miszta C. (Back Injury) Ryan Guilherme (Injury)

There are questionable in Santa Clara: Costa J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Rio Ave: Abbey N. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Santa Clara	8	5	3	0	12:4	8	18
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
29.08.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Santa Clara - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Santa Clara - Nacional	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Santa Clara - Arouca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWTW
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
28.08.26	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Rio Ave - Porto	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Gil Vicente - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Rio Ave - Tondela	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
11.04.26	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	0:2
30.11.25	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	1:1
18.04.25	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	1:1
07.12.24	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	1:0
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	1:2
Liga Portugal
17.03.23	Santa Clara - Rio Ave	0:2
02.10.22	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	1:0

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