Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP IV - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Avia Świdnik		Garbarnia Kraków

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.1	4.4
	1.54	4.01	4.23
	1.54	4.02	4.23
	1.54	4.15	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.85	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)	4.03 ↑ (3.75)	4.34 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
57.2%

Draw
22.2%

Garbarnia Kraków
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avia Świdnik's performance.

Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garbarnia Kraków might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avia Świdnik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garbarnia Kraków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avia Świdnik - Garbarnia Kraków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 and 6).

Recent matches Avia Świdnik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Garbarnia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avia Świdnik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Garbarnia have a series of home games.

In this match Avia Świdnik is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Avia Świdnik won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
14.10.23	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Avia Świdnik - Karpaty Krosno	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Star Starachowice - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Avia Świdnik - Czarni Połaniec	6:2 ✺
15.09.23	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Avia Świdnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWWL
- Garbarnia Kraków
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.10.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Chełmianka Chełm	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Wiślanie Jaśkowice - Garbarnia Kraków	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Sokół Sieniawa	3:4 ✺
Polish Cup
27.09.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Radomiak Radom	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.09.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Karpaty Krosno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.05.17	Garbarnia Kraków - Avia Świdnik	3:1

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