Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Avia Świdnik		Wiślanie Skawina

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.9	3.8
	1.65	3.95	3.95
	1.67	3.94	4.23	Watch
	1.68	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)	3.95 ↓ (4.28)	4 ↓ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avia Świdnik
54.4%

Draw
22.9%

Wiślanie Skawina
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

21.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

21.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avia Świdnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avia Świdnik's form might have worsened.

Wiślanie Skawina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avia Świdnik than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avia Świdnik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiślanie Skawina than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Avia Świdnik - Wiślanie Skawina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Wiślanie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Avia Świdnik is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Avia Świdnik won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Avia Świdnik won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avia Świdnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Avia Świdnik	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Ruch Chorzów	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Avia Świdnik - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Avia Świdnik	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLTW
- Wiślanie Skawina
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Star Starachowice	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Wisła II Kraków - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Wiślanie Skawina	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
22.03.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Avia Świdnik	1:2
24.08.24	Avia Świdnik - Wiślanie Skawina	2:2

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