Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	Avispa Fukuoka		Ryūkyū

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.55	4.25	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.3
	1.85	3.56	4.66
	1.83	3.3	4.4
	1.85	3.62	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)	3.46 ↑ (3.37)	4.37 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avispa Fukuoka
51.4%

Draw
27.1%

Ryūkyū
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

18.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avispa Fukuoka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryūkyū could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avispa Fukuoka - Ryūkyū Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to J1 League and 18).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Avispa Fukuoka is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J2 League
08.11.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:1 ✺
04.11.20	Mito HollyHock - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
01.11.20	Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
21.10.20	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWT
- FC Ryūkyū
Japan J2 League
08.11.20	Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:0 ✺
04.11.20	Ventforet Kofu - Ryūkyū	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Omiya Ardija - Ryūkyū	0:3 ✺
25.10.20	Ryūkyū - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 ✺
21.10.20	Tochigi - Ryūkyū	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
28.06.20	Ryūkyū - Avispa Fukuoka	1:1
05.10.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Ryūkyū	0:1
24.02.19	Ryūkyū - Avispa Fukuoka	3:1

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