Match Info

J1 League - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	18:00	Stan Sport
China	15:00	K-Ball
Hong Kong	15:00	M Plus Live
Japan	16:00	DAZN Japan
Macao	15:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports


	Machida Zelvia		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.25	4.75
	1.75	3.40	4.75
	1.72	3.3	4.85	Watch
	1.85	3.44	4.89
	1.78	3.5	4.84	Watch
	1.83	3.4	4.85
	1.78	3.37	5.18	Watch
	1.74	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.83)	3.39 ↓ (3.57)	4.88 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
53%

Draw
27.7%

Avispa Fukuoka
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

26.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.1%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Machida Zelvia (1.82) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 50. Okamura D. 2. Ouwejan T. 6. Mochizuki H. 16. Mae H. 31. Lavi N. 33. Akimoto T. 9. Ogawa K. 7. Soma Y. 99. Yengi T.	24. Obata Y. (G) 16. Oka T. 37. Tashiro M. 15. Tsujioka Y. 2. Yuzawa M. 34. Shiihashi K. 11. Miki T. (C) 29. Maejima Y. 6. Shigemi M. 13. Morooka S. 9. Werik Popo
Substitutes
5. Dresevic I. 15. Duke M. 66. Koch A. (G) 13. Morita T. (G) 20. Nishimura T. 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F.	32. Brown A. 47. Hashimoto Y. 5. Kamijima T. 25. Kitajima Y. 55. Maeda K. 20. Mikuni K. 38. Miya D. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 52. Takemoto S. 33. Yamawaki K.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Tsukahara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Yengi T. ⚽, Mochizuki H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Werik Popo ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
54', Okamura D. 🟨,
60', Shoji G. 🟨,
65', Yengi T. ↓, Nishimura T. ↑,
68', Shiihashi K. ↓, Maeda K. ↑,
68', Yuzawa M. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Mae H. ⚽,
76', 3 - 0, Mochizuki H. ⚽, Akimoto T. (A),
77', Ogawa K. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
77', Lavi N. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
79', Shigemi M. ↓, Takemoto S. ↑,
86', Morooka S. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
86', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
86', Okamura D. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th and 17th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1.

Machida Zelvia has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Avispa Fukuoka has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Avispa Fukuoka could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Machida Zelvia is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Avispa Fukuoka: Fukushima K. (Knee Injury).

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Machida Zelvia has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:11 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Machida Zelvia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 0.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Machida	9	6	2	1	22:10	12	20
17	Avispa Fukuoka	9	2	1	6	11:13	-2	7

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Avispa Fukuoka: 0.34%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
AFC Champions League 2
15.10.26	Tampines Rovers - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
10.10.26	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
03.10.26	Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 penalties ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi City	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
20.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Sagan Tosu - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
10.10.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
19.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
18.10.25	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
29.03.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	2:2
14.09.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	0:3
22.06.24	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
Japan J2 League
21.10.20	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
13.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	2:1
14.07.19	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:2

Upcoming Matches