Match Info

J1 League - Round 34

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Machida Zelvia		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.95
	1.75	3.71	5.3
	1.80	3.18	5.20	Watch
	1.72	3.58	5.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)	3.45 ↓ (3.53)	5.21 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
54.6%

Draw
27.3%

Avispa Fukuoka
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.4%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Avispa Fukuoka (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 3. Shoji G. 19. Nakayama Y. 88. Nakamura H. 16. Mae H. 18. Shimoda H. 26. Hayashi K. 20. Nishimura T. 10. Na Sang-Ho 90. Oh Se-Hun	24. Obata Y. (G) 3. Nara T. 37. Tashiro M. 20. Ando T. 2. Yuzawa M. 88. Matsuoka D. 11. Miki T. 47. Hashimoto Y. 14. Nago S. 50. Sato S. 17. Wellington
Substitutes
44. Arai Y. (G) 15. Duke M. 9. Fujio S. 49. Kuwayama K. 11. Masuyama A. 6. Mochizuki H. 30. Nakashima Y. 77. Narasaka T. 7. Soma Y.	22. Fujimoto K. 40. Ikeda J. 18. Iwasaki Y. 8. Konno K. 29. Maejima Y. 1. Nagaishi T. (G) 77. Shichi T. 27. Usui S. 9. Zahedi S.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Kim Myong-hwi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Nishimura T. ↓, Soma Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nakamura H. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
55', Wellington ↓, Usui S. ↑,
55', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Maejima Y. ↑,
67', Nago S. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
67', Sato S. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
79', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
79', Na Sang-Ho ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
84', Yuzawa M. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1.

Recent performances by Machida Zelvia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Avispa Fukuoka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Machida Zelvia	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
30.09.25	Johor Darul Takzim - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
27.09.25	Machida Zelvia - Fagiano Okayama	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
16.09.25	Machida Zelvia - FC Seoul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTWTT
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
04.10.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama FC	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
29.03.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	2:2
14.09.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	0:3
22.06.24	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
Japan J2 League
21.10.20	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0
13.09.20	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	2:1
14.07.19	Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka	0:2
13.04.19	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	0:2

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