The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avispa Fukuoka 45.2%
Draw 30.5%
JEF United Chiba 24.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
29.7%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
25.9%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Avispa Fukuoka that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
Avispa Fukuoka - JEF United Chiba Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). JEF United will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 4% – 71%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Fujita K. (G) 16. Oka T. 5. Kamijima T. (C) 15. Tsujioka Y. 29. Maejima Y. 34. Shiihashi K. 11. Miki T. 22. Fujimoto K. 6. Shigemi M. 14. Nago S. 7. Usui S.
19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. (C) 24. Toriumi K. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 7. Tanaka K. 4. Taguchi T. 15. Mae T. 8. Tsukui T. 30. Matsumura T. 20. Ishikawa D.
Substitutes
17. Akino H. 47. Hashimoto Y. 25. Kitajima Y. 27. Michiwaki Y. 99. Obi P. O. (G) 8. Okuno K. 32. Sani Brown A. 37. Tashiro M. 2. Yuzawa M.
9. Goya H. 37. Himeno M. 42. Issaka Z. 5. Kobayashi Y. 3. Kuboniwa R. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 14. Tsubaki N. 41. Yasui T. 11. Yonekura K.
Coaches
Tsukahara S.
Kobayashi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Ishikawa D. ⚽,
17', Nago S. 🟨,
33', Toriumi K. 🟨,
39', Oka T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Usui S. ⚽,
56', Matsumura T. ↓, Goya H. ↑,
61', Nago S. ↓, Akino H. ↑,
61', Oka T. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Hashimoto Y. ⚽,
68', Taguchi T. ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
68', Tanaka K. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
68', Tsukui T. ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
74', Shigemi M. ↓, Sani Brown A. ↑,
74', Shiihashi K. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Goya H. ⚽, Ishikawa D. (A),
88', Fujimoto K. ↓, Yuzawa M. ↑,
88', Hidaka M. ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 1.
Avispa Fukuoka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
JEF United is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Avispa Fukuoka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hashimoto Y.
(Injury)
There will not play in JEF United: Kuboniwa R.
(Yellow Cards)
Ueda Y.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in JEF United: Mae T.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Avispa Fukuoka won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
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Fujita K. (G) 
Suarez J. (G) 
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