Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Rene Fenouillere (Avranches)


	Avranches		Bourg-Péronnas

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	1.98
	3.05	3.35	2.08
	3.2	3.4	2.06
	3.63	3.52	2.06
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.44	3.44	1.99	Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.53)	3.37 ↑ (3.15)	2.04 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avranches
27.9%

Draw
27.2%

Bourg-Péronnas
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.4%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avranches's form might have worsened.

Bourg-Péronnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bourg-Péronnas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avranches, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bourg-Péronnas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	30.4%	43.5%

Avranches - Bourg Péronnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Avranches will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Bourg-Péronnas will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bourg-Péronnas: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avranches won 1.

Recent matches Avranches is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bourg-Péronnas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bourg-Péronnas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Avranches won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Avranches won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Le Puy - Avranches	1:1 ✺
12.10.22	Avranches - Martigues	1:1 ✺
30.09.22	Le Mans - Avranches	3:0 ✺
23.09.22	Paris 13 Atletico - Avranches	0:1 ✺
16.09.22	Avranches - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTLWT
- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
21.10.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Paris 13 Atletico	0:2 ✺
12.10.22	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1 ✺
30.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Sedan	1:3 ✺
23.09.22	Villefranche - Bourg-Péronnas	3:2 ✺
16.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Stade Briochin	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
04.02.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Avranches	2:0
27.08.21	Avranches - Bourg-Péronnas	0:3
23.04.21	Avranches - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0
04.12.20	Bourg-Péronnas - Avranches	0:0
02.11.19	Bourg-Péronnas - Avranches	1:1
08.03.19	Bourg-Péronnas - Avranches	1:2
28.09.18	Avranches - Bourg-Péronnas	3:1

Avranches - Bourg-Péronnas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide