Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 26 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Rene Fenouillere (Avranches)


	Avranches		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.6	3.1	2.65	Watch
	2.69	3.1	2.83
	2.69	3.09	2.83
	2.5	3.1	2.6
	2.61	2.95	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.2)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.69 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avranches
35.7%

Draw
30.1%

Villefranche
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avranches's form might have worsened.

Villefranche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Avranches - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Avranches will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Villefranche will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mensah C. (G) 17. Bansais D. 23. Daguin V. 3. Fofana S. 10. Magnon P. 7. Nsimba S. 5. Rabuel M. 21. Remars M. 6. Smith J. 24. Tertereau A. 18. Tshipamba I.	1. Pean S. (G) 19. Ba I. 24. Bendaoud S. 5. Bonenfant R. 6. Da Silva C. 31. Domingos B. S. 15. Emmanuelli T. 27. Kouadio J. 8. Louzif M. 12. M'Buyi C. 4. Moussadek D.
Substitutes
11. Jean D. 20. Kerouedan A. 2. Launay B. 4. Lemeray M. 14. Pierre L.	. Deruytere L. . Franck O. E. 2. Henry K. 23. Mai D. 11. Sidibe O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Domingos B. S. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Ba I. ⚽, Bonenfant R. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Fofana S. ⚽,
28', Mensah C. 🟨,
30', 1 - 2, Ba I. ⚽,
38', Fofana S. ↓, Launay B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Remars M. ↓, Jean D. ↑,
46', Tertereau A. ↓, Kerouedan A. ↑,
51', Rabuel M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 3, Louzif M. ⚽,
69', Bonenfant R. ↓, Deruytere L. ↑,
70', Moussadek D. 🟨,
74', Bendaoud S. ↓, Franck O. E. ↑,
74', Louzif M. ↓, Mai D. ↑,
75', M'Buyi C. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑,
77', Kouadio J. 🟨,
83', Ba I. ↓, Henry K. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avranches won 1.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Avranches could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Avranches won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Avranches won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
22.03.24	Martigues - Avranches	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Avranches - Sochaux	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	GOAL FC - Avranches	4:1 ✺
02.03.24	Avranches - Red Star	0:0 ✺
23.02.24	Orleans - Avranches	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
22.03.24	GOAL FC - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
18.03.24	Villefranche - Red Star	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Rouen FC - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
08.03.24	Orleans - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Villefranche - Versailles	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
01.12.23	Avranches - Villefranche	0:2
10.02.23	Villefranche - Avranches	1:1
02.09.22	Avranches - Villefranche	2:1
08.04.22	Avranches - Villefranche	1:1
05.11.21	Villefranche - Avranches	3:0
01.05.21	Villefranche - Avranches	2:1
18.12.20	Avranches - Villefranche	1:2

Avranches - Villefranche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide