Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 16

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday


	Gerena		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.24	3	2.27
	3.24	2.81	2.27
	3.14	3.04	2.2
	3.3	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.59)	3.01 ↓ (3.04)	2.18 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gerena
28.2%

Draw
30.2%

Xerez CD
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

29.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gerena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gerena's form might have worsened.

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Xerez CD's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gerena than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gerena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Xerez CD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gerena - Xerez CD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gerena won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gerena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Gerena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.12.23	Córdoba B - Gerena	1:0 ✺
06.12.23	Gerena - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Sevilla C - Gerena	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Gerena - Ayamonte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTLW
- Xerez CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
17.12.23	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Xerez CD - Coria CF	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	La Palma - Xerez CD	3:3 ✺
19.11.23	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Bollullos - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.02.23	Xerez CD - Gerena	1:1
09.10.22	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:1
09.04.22	Xerez CD - Gerena	1:1
08.12.21	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:4
24.11.19	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:0
28.02.19	Xerez CD - Gerena	2:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
14.01.18	Gerena - Xerez CD	4:1

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