Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Azuaga		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.44
	7.25	4.75	1.42	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.38	Watch
	6.63	4.06	1.48
	8	4.5	1.4	Watch
	7.4	4.4	1.43	Watch
	6.6	4.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.2 ↓ (9.88)	4.46 ↓ (4.8)	1.42 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuaga
13%

Draw
21.1%

Cartagena
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

19.7%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

10.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-27.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Azuaga - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Azuaga will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gonzalez J. 3. Sanchez J. 4. Samed I. 5. Gomez D. 17. Dominguez D. 10. Garrido A. 8. Mogollon P. (C) 14. Carlos Lopez 16. Nkrumah K. 7. De Lillo R. 11. Chepe	13. Raul C. (G) 5. Verdu G. 14. Fontan J. 18. Musto D. (C) 21. Jansson I. 22. Olivas K. 24. Jony 29. Lauti 31. Sanchez C. 35. Ayllon I. 32. Alamo J.
Substitutes
26. Carlos J. 19. Lorente G. 1. Mbia P. 18. Medina J. 9. Opara L. 15. Peter A. K. 22. Pires F. 2. Vaca E.	4. Alcala P. 16. Calero I. 19. Embalo U. 7. Ferreiro D. 20. Izquierdo J. 11. Juan Carlos 1. Martinez M. (G) 8. Munoz L. 12. Narvaez J. 9. Ortuno A.

Preview

Azuaga is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cartagena is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cartagena is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Azuaga to win the game is with odds 8.21.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.10.23	Azuaga - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Castuera - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	Azuaga - Moralo	0:1 ✺
12.10.23	Arroyo - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Azuaga - Olivenza	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Mirandés - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
23.10.23	Alcorcón - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Cartagena - Racing Santander	2:3 ✺
08.10.23	Ferrol - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
05.10.23	Cartagena - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTL

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