Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Diocesano		Azuaga

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.05	2.32
	2.82	3.14	2.42
	2.86	3.29	2.34	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.4
	2.81	3.1	2.37
	2.8	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.06)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	2.37 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diocesano
32.3%

Draw
29.3%

Azuaga
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.8%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Azuaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azuaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diocesano - Azuaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 1.

Diocesano is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Azuaga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Azuaga has had a series of home games.

Azuaga might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Diocesano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.12.25	Gévora - Diocesano	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Diocesano - Calamonte	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Diocesano - Jaraíz	2:3 ✺
02.11.25	Montehermoso - Diocesano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLLT
- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.12.25	Azuaga - Villafranca	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Azuaga - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Azuaga - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Azuaga - Jerez	3:3 ✺
02.11.25	Gévora - Azuaga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.02.25	Diocesano - Azuaga	0:2
22.09.24	Azuaga - Diocesano	0:2
17.03.24	Diocesano - Azuaga	3:3
29.10.23	Azuaga - Diocesano	2:1
14.04.22	Diocesano - Azuaga	1:2
12.12.21	Azuaga - Diocesano	2:1
08.12.20	Diocesano - Azuaga	1:0

Diocesano - Azuaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide