Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ashitaka Park Stadium (Numazu)

Referee: Imamura Y. (Jpn)


	Azul Claro Numazu		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.45	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.61	3.35	2.8
	2.61	3.09	2.8
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.46	3.45	2.68	Watch
	2.43	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (4.58)	3.27 ↓ (3.52)	2.67 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
37.1%

Draw
28.3%

Consadole Sapporo
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

26%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

23.7%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Azul Claro Numazu's performance.

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Consadole Sapporo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Azul Claro Numazu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Consadole Sapporo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Azul Claro Numazu - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Azul Claro Numazu will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Consadole Sapporo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Azul Claro Numazu: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Musha H. (G) 3. Anzai T. 28. Inoue K. 13. Tsukegi Y. 26. Miyawaki S. 40. Numata K. 41. Toyama H. 14. Tokunaga K. 21. Mori Y. 33. Akatsuka M. 19. Saito M.	21. Awaka S. (G) 15. Ieizumi R. 6. Nakamura T. 28. Okada Y. 30. Tanaka H. 47. Nishino S. 37. Tanaka K. 35. Hara K. 40. Izuma S. 31. Kido S. 13. Kim Gun-Hee
Substitutes
20. Kawamata K. 7. Mochii K. 35. Mukai H. 31. Otomo R. (G) 34. Rissi G. 11. Someya K. 18. Sugai T. 23. Tsukui T. 27. Wada H.	16. Hasegawa T. 49. Kanta K. 99. Kobayashi Y. 34. Nakano K. (G) 48. Sakamoto K. 19. Sarachat S. 2. Takao R.
Coaches
Nakayama M.	Petrovic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Tanaka H. ⚽,
18', Toyama H. 🟨,
24', Tanaka K. 🟨,
30', Ieizumi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Nakamura T. ↓, Takao R. ↑,
46', Izuma S. ↓, Sarachat S. ↑,
46', Kim Gun-Hee ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
46', Nishino S. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
46', Mori Y. ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
52', Akatsuka M. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Akatsuka M. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Kobayashi Y. ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, Kobayashi Y. ⚽,
63', Toyama H. ↓, Mochii K. ↑,
63', Akatsuka M. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
73', Kido S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
87', Kawamata K. 🟨,

Preview

Azul Claro Numazu is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Consadole Sapporo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Azul Claro Numazu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Consadole Sapporo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Omiya Ardija - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
10.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWLW
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J1 League
13.04.24	Albirex Niigata - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Consadole Sapporo - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
03.04.24	Consadole Sapporo - Nagoya Grampus	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Vissel Kobe - Consadole Sapporo	6:1 ✺
16.03.24	Consadole Sapporo - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLLL

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