Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 10

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)


	Omiya Ardija		Azul Claro Numazu

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.83	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.86	3.78	4.04
	1.81	3.78	4.04
	1.75	3.3	3.8
	1.88	3.4	3.94	Watch
	1.78	3.5	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.93)	3.51 ↓ (3.61)	3.9 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
50.4%

Draw
26.1%

Azul Claro Numazu
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

25.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.1%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 34. Murakami Y. 26. Hamada M. 4. Ichihara R. 46. Nuki M. 7. Kojima M. 20. Shimoguchi W. 30. Arthur Silva 6. Ishikawa T. 23. Sugimoto K. 42. Fujii K.	50. Watanabe K. (G) 3. Anzai T. 36. Nakamura Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. 88. Hama T. 18. Sugai T. 14. Tokunaga K. 7. Mochii K. 23. Tsukui T. 27. Wada H. 21. Mori Y.
Substitutes
14. Izumi T. 21. Kato Y. (G) 17. Nakano K. 49. Osawa T. 35. Shimizu Y. 16. Ueda Y. 5. Urakami N.	20. Kawamata K. 26. Miyawaki S. 55. Musha H. (G) 40. Numata K. 19. Saito M. 11. Someya K. 41. Toyama H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Fujii K. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Sugimoto K. ⚽, Fujii K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Hamada M. (Own goal),
65', Nuki M. ↓, Nakano K. ↑,
65', Ishikawa T. ↓, Ueda Y. ↑,
65', Hamada M. ↓, Izumi T. ↑,
66', Tsukui T. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
74', Mori Y. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
74', Mochii K. ↓, Numata K. ↑,
77', Shimoguchi W. 🟨,
86', Wada H. ↓, Someya K. ↑,
86', Tokunaga K. ↓, Toyama H. ↑,
87', Fujii K. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J3 League
10.04.24	YSCC - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Omiya Ardija - Osaka	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:1 ✺
20.03.24	Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWT
- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
10.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWT

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