Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 8

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Azul Claro Numazu		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	1.95	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.04	3.48	3.7
	1.97	3.48	3.7
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.93	3.36	3.56	Watch
	2.03	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.31)	3.35 ↑ (3.29)	3.49 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
46.4%

Draw
27.3%

Grulla Morioka
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.5%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Azul Claro Numazu's performance.

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grulla Morioka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Azul Claro Numazu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grulla Morioka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Watanabe K. (G) 3. Anzai T. 36. Nakamura Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. 88. Hama T. 18. Sugai T. 14. Tokunaga K. 7. Mochii K. 23. Tsukui T. 27. Wada H. 8. Suzuki K.	1. Okubo T. (G) 3. Saito R. 25. Yamato Y. 5. Sako M. 13. Kogure D. 22. Nishi D. 17. Niizato R. 44. Aratama E. 14. Matsubara K. 15. Kagami T. 10. Otabor K.
Substitutes
20. Kawamata K. 26. Miyawaki S. 21. Mori Y. 40. Numata K. 31. Otomo R. (G) 19. Saito M. 41. Toyama H.	30. Adachi S. 21. Inaba A. (G) 11. Kiri S. 77. Komatsu K. 18. Miyaichi T. 29. Mizuno K. 9. Tokura K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Wada H. ⚽, Anzai T. (A),
30', Nishi D. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Wada H. ⚽, Tokunaga K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Otabor K. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
46', Matsubara K. ↓, Komatsu K. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Tsukui T. ⚽, Hama T. (A),
59', Saito R. 🟨,
60', Aratama E. ↓, Miyaichi T. ↑,
66', 3 - 1, Kagami T. ⚽,
67', Nishi D. ↓, Tokura K. ↑,
70', Suzuki K. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
70', Mochii K. ↓, Toyama H. ↑,
75', Miyaichi T. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Tsukui T. ⚽, Toyama H. (A),
82', Kogure D. ↓, Mizuno K. ↑,
83', Tokunaga K. ↓, Numata K. ↑,
83', Hama T. ↓, Miyawaki S. ↑,
88', Anzai T. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
90+3', Sako M. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
30.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Ryūkyū	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Imabari - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWL
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
31.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	3:1 ✺
20.03.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Gainare Tottori	1:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Grulla Morioka - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
01.10.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	1:2
25.03.23	Grulla Morioka - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1
05.12.21	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	1:1
19.06.21	Grulla Morioka - Azul Claro Numazu	3:2
11.10.20	Grulla Morioka - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0
29.07.20	Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka	1:2

Azul Claro Numazu - Grulla Morioka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide