Match Info

J3 League - Round 34

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Ashitaka Park Stadium (Numazu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Azul Claro Numazu		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.15	2.82	Watch
	2.54	3.13	2.74	Watch
	2.34	3	3.23	Watch
	2.28	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.54)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	2.91 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
38.9%

Draw
29.5%

Sagamihara
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

30.4%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gueguim G. (G) 5. Shinozaki T. 34. Miyazaki K. 7. Numata K. 22. Ichimaru D. 14. Tokunaga K. 13. Watai K. 2. Miyawaki S. 35. Mukai H. 11. Mori Y. 23. Shirawachi K.	46. Baumann N. (G) 2. Kato D. 20. Yamauchi R. 54. Watahiki K. 26. Nishikubo S. 6. Tokunaga Y. 27. Nishiyama T. 7. Kawano R. 10. Nakayama R. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A.
Substitutes
17. Fujii K. 20. Kawamata K. 21. Maeda H. (G) 16. Mihara S. 19. Saito M. 18. Sugai T. 9. Suzuki W. I. 71. Watanabe R. 24. Yanagimachi K.	22. Fukui K. 31. Inose K. (G) 18. Miki K. 11. Muto Y. 36. Nakashio D. 8. Osako R. 19. Satori K. 16. Takano R. 25. Tanaka R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Shirawachi K. 🟨,
33', Ichimaru D. 🟨,
39', Watai K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Kawano R. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
65', Mukai H. ↓, Yanagimachi K. ↑,
69', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
69', Takagi A. ↓, Satori K. ↑,
78', Shirawachi K. ↓, Suzuki W. I. ↑,
81', Nakayama R. ↓, Tanaka R. ↑,
81', Sugimoto R. ↓, Fukui K. ↑,
86', Watai K. ↓, Sugai T. ↑,
86', Mori Y. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
89', Nishikubo S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 2.

Azul Claro Numazu is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sagamihara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Azul Claro Numazu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Azul Claro Numazu won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Azul Claro Numazu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Azul Claro Numazu - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.52%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Sagamihara - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.85%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
25.10.25	Nagano Parceiro - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Kochi United - Azul Claro Numazu	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Gifu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
26.10.25	Kochi United - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sagamihara - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Gainare Tottori - Sagamihara	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Sagamihara - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
28.06.25	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1
13.07.24	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0
10.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	2:1
13.08.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	3:0
02.04.23	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	0:0
27.08.22	Azul Claro Numazu - Sagamihara	1:1
12.03.22	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0

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