Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 20

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Ashitaka Park Stadium (Numazu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Azul Claro Numazu		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.65	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.75	3.45	2.46
	2.73	3.37	2.35	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.25
	2.65	3.32	2.34	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.48)	3.32 (3.32)	2.36 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
34.2%

Draw
27.4%

Omiya Ardija
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

27.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Azul Claro Numazu - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Azul Claro Numazu will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Omiya will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Musha H. (G) 3. Anzai T. 36. Nakamura Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. 88. Hama T. 18. Sugai T. 14. Tokunaga K. 7. Mochii K. 23. Tsukui T. 20. Kawamata K. 21. Mori Y.	1. Kasahara T. (G) 22. Motegi R. 4. Ichihara R. 5. Urakami N. 20. Shimoguchi W. 6. Ishikawa T. 7. Kojima M. 17. Nakano K. 30. Arthur Silva 14. Izumi T. 23. Sugimoto K.
Substitutes
26. Miyawaki S. 19. Saito M. 8. Suzuki K. 41. Toyama H. 27. Wada H. 50. Watanabe K. (G) 44. Yanagimachi K.	39. Izumisawa J. 34. Murakami Y. 49. Osawa T. 37. Sekiguchi K. 35. Shimizu Y. 40. Shimura K. (G) 28. Tomiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Tsukui T. ⚽, Kawamata K. (A),
9', 2 - 0, Hama T. ⚽, Anzai T. (A),
33', Urakami N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Nakano K. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
46', Ishikawa T. ↓, Osawa T. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Kawamata K. ⚽, Anzai T. (A),
62', Arthur Silva ↓, Shimizu Y. ↑,
62', Mori Y. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
74', Izumi T. ↓, Izumisawa J. ↑,
74', Sugimoto K. ↓, Tomiyama T. ↑,
77', Kawamata K. ↓, Wada H. ↑,
77', Tsukui T. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
77', Tokunaga K. ↓, Toyama H. ↑,
88', Mochii K. ↓, Yanagimachi K. ↑,
90+6', 3 - 1, Motegi R. ⚽, Izumisawa J. (A),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

Recent matches Azul Claro Numazu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Omiya is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Azul Claro Numazu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
29.06.24	YSCC - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
23.06.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Nara Club	3:0 ✺
16.06.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Azul Claro Numazu	4:0 ✺
08.06.24	Gifu - Azul Claro Numazu	1:5 ✺
02.06.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Kataller Toyama	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J3 League
29.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Grulla Morioka	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Omiya Ardija - Ryūkyū	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Kyoto Sanga - Omiya Ardija	2:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
09.06.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Omiya Ardija	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Omiya Ardija - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1

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