Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 15

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Ashitaka Park Stadium (Numazu)


	Azul Claro Numazu		Kataller Toyama

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.4	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.54	3.25	2.88
	2.54	3.07	2.89
	2.3	3.2	2.62
	2.41	3.08	2.73	Watch
	2.33	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.22)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	2.77 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azul Claro Numazu
37.9%

Draw
29.2%

Kataller Toyama
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Kataller Toyama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azul Claro Numazu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Azul Claro Numazu - Kataller Toyama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Musha H. (G) 3. Anzai T. 36. Nakamura Y. 13. Tsukegi Y. 88. Hama T. 18. Sugai T. 14. Tokunaga K. 7. Mochii K. 23. Tsukui T. 27. Wada H. 8. Suzuki K.	1. Tagawa T. (G) 23. Nishiya S. 4. Kamiyama K. 14. Shimodo R. 25. Yasumitsu S. 24. Kawai Y. 6. Sera S. 22. Shiina N. 7. Sasaki Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 10. Leiria Dos Santos M.
Substitutes
20. Kawamata K. 26. Miyawaki S. 21. Mori Y. 40. Numata K. 19. Saito M. 50. Watanabe K. (G) 44. Yanagimachi K.	46. Kawakami Y. 8. Matsuoka D. 30. Osako A. 31. Saito K. (G) 16. Sueki H. 33. Takahashi Y. 9. Usui S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Sugai T. 🟨,
37', Tsukui T. 🟨,
45', Yasumitsu S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Shiina N. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
46', Sasaki Y. ↓, Usui S. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Suzuki K. ⚽,
69', Suzuki K. ↓, Saito M. ↑,
69', Tsukui T. ↓, Mori Y. ↑,
69', Sera S. ↓, Sueki H. ↑,
69', Yoshihira T. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
84', Wada H. ↓, Kawamata K. ↑,
84', Mochii K. ↓, Yanagimachi K. ↑,
84', Nishiya S. ↓, Osako A. ↑,
90', Anzai T. ↓, Miyawaki S. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azul Claro Numazu
Japan J3 League
19.05.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:0 ✺
06.05.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0 ✺
03.05.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Fukushima United	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Osaka - Azul Claro Numazu	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
17.04.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Consadole Sapporo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLTL
- Kataller Toyama
Japan J League Cup
22.05.24	Kataller Toyama - Vissel Kobe	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J3 League
18.05.24	Kataller Toyama - Osaka	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Imabari - Kataller Toyama	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Kataller Toyama - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kataller Toyama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
15.10.23	Kataller Toyama - Azul Claro Numazu	1:2
12.03.23	Azul Claro Numazu - Kataller Toyama	2:1
17.09.22	Azul Claro Numazu - Kataller Toyama	1:0
19.06.22	Kataller Toyama - Azul Claro Numazu	1:0
05.09.21	Azul Claro Numazu - Kataller Toyama	2:1
16.05.21	Kataller Toyama - Azul Claro Numazu	3:0
19.12.20	Azul Claro Numazu - Kataller Toyama	3:2

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