Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 11

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Os Pioneiros (Pato Branco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Azuriz		Cianorte

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.6
	2.11	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.06	2.99	3.88
	2.08	3.07	3.55	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2.04	3.08	3.51	Watch
	2.11	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.37)	3.03 ↑ (3)	3.59 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuriz
44.3%

Draw
30.2%

Cianorte
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.6%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuriz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Azuriz's performance.

Cianorte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cianorte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Azuriz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cianorte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Azuriz - Cianorte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitor Hugo (G) 11. Augusto Galvan 13. Bruno 8. Cerezo 10. Edinho 6. Gabriel Lima 4. Lucas Adell 9. Matheus Guimaraes 7. Wellisson 22. Williams Bahia 5. Xavier (C)	1. Eugenio Neto (G) 4. Anderson Salles (C) 8. Bruno Negueba 6. Didi D. 5. Euller 10. Guilherme Belea 11. Marcio Maranhao 9. Mikael Mendes 2. Romailson 7. Vinicius Faria 3. Wesley
Substitutes
3. Ary Garcia 20. Daniel Dias 16. Felipe Dini 17. Gabriel Mineiro 18. Marco Bustillo 21. Matheus Alemao 15. Matheus Obina 14. Samir 19. Samuel Costa 2. Thiago Henrique 23. Yuri (G)	22. Caio Ghisleri (G) 18. Dayvid 16. Gabriel Souza 13. Handerson 15. Kevin Malthus 25. Morishige Y. 14. Pedro Ivo 17. Rian Felipe 12. Tiepo (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Wellisson ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Augusto Galvan ⚽,
37', Xavier 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vinicius Faria ↓, Rian Felipe ↑,
46', Romailson ↓, Gabriel Souza ↑,
54', 🟨,
60', Wellisson ↓, Marco Bustillo ↑,
68', Guilherme Belea ↓, Morishige Y. ↑,
68', Mikael Mendes ↓, Dayvid ↑,
71', 🟨,
78', Williams Bahia ↓, Thiago Henrique ↑,
78', Edinho ↓, Matheus Obina ↑,
90', Xavier ↓, Samir ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Cianorte is Qualified for Paranaense (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Azuriz is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cianorte is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Azuriz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.5:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Azuriz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
12.02.25	Maringá - Azuriz	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Azuriz - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Londrina - Azuriz	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Azuriz - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
29.01.25	Azuriz - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW
- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
12.02.25	Cianorte - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Andraus - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Cianorte - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
28.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
11.02.24	Cianorte - Azuriz	3:2
05.02.23	Azuriz - Cianorte	0:3
06.02.22	Cianorte - Azuriz	2:0
15.05.21	Cianorte - Azuriz	1:0

Azuriz - Cianorte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide