Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 6

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ligga Arena (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Athletico Paranaense		Cianorte

	1	X	2
	1.36	3.9	8
	1.38	4.1	7
	1.42	4.33	7	Watch
	1.38	4.27	7.67
	1.43	4.06	7	Watch
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.44	3.93	8.28	Watch
	1.42	4.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.1 ↑ (3.78)	7.37 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
65.2%

Draw
22.3%

Cianorte
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.9%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

23.2%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Cianorte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Athletico Paranaense - Cianorte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Mateus Soares (G) 45. Belezi 7. Di Yorio L. 2. Dudu Kogitzki 15. Gamarra M. 57. Joao Cruz 61. Leo Derik 19. Luiz Fernando 22. Matheus Felipe 31. Raul (C) 10. Zapelli B.	1. Eugenio Neto (G) 4. Anderson Salles (C) 8. Breno 11. Clinton U. 5. Danrley 9. Gabriel Ramos 2. Gabriel Souza 10. Guilherme Belea 7. Luiz Fernando 6. Nicolas 3. Wesley
Substitutes
27. Alan Kardec 32. Arriagada L. 47. Chiqueti 37. Esquivel L. 98. Falcao 29. Juninho 21. Leozinho 18. Palacios H. 63. Riquelme D. 77. Santos Kayke 99. Sorriso 76. Voronov M. (G)	15. Bruno Negueba 22. Caio Ghisleri (G) 19. Dayvid 16. Euller 14. Luciano 21. Marcio Maranhao 18. Mikael Mendes 25. Morishige Y. 20. Pedro Ivo 17. Rian Felipe 13. Romailson 12. Tiepo (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Belezi (Own goal),
30', Nicolas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gamarra M. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
46', Leo Derik 🟨,
49', 1 - 1, Di Yorio L. ⚽,
50', Danrley 🟨,
60', Danrley ↓, Pedro Ivo ↑,
61', Luiz Fernando ↓, Rian Felipe ↑,
66', Leo Derik ↓, Leozinho ↑,
67', Clinton U. ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
71', Joao Cruz ↓, Juninho ↑,
71', Luiz Fernando ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
76', Breno ↓, Luciano ↑,
76', Gabriel Ramos ↓, Bruno Negueba ↑,
84', Di Yorio L. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.01.25	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
14.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Rio Branco PR	5:1 ✺
11.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLWW
- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.01.25	Rio Branco PR - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	Cianorte - Londrina	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	São-Joseense - Cianorte	0:5 ✺
15.01.25	Maringá - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Cianorte - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
31.01.24	Cianorte - Athletico Paranaense	0:1
08.02.23	Cianorte - Athletico Paranaense	0:1
19.02.22	Athletico Paranaense - Cianorte	5:1
27.02.21	Cianorte - Athletico Paranaense	1:0
30.01.20	Cianorte - Athletico Paranaense	3:1
10.02.19	Athletico Paranaense - Cianorte	1:0
27.01.18	Athletico Paranaense - Cianorte	0:0

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